Banks Could Face Up To $179 Billion Of Losses On Loan Buyback Demands

Posted By on August 18, 2010

By David Mildenberg and Jody Shenn

Aug 18, 2010

That’s the base estimate by analyst Chris Gamaitoni, who told clients costs may range from $55.3 billion in a best-case scenario to $179.2 billion at worst. The losses would be in addition to $28 billion of buyback demands by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac that Compass previously predicted. Deutsche Bank AG and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. are among lenders confronting the biggest potential impact, according to Gamaitoni’s report.

Lenders have been barraged by claims from mortgage buyers and insurers who say banks sold housing debt to investors based on untrue or misleading data about home loans. The estimated losses exceed 10 percent of tangible book value at eight of the banks Gamaitoni cited. While solvency isn’t at risk, the drain on profit could last for years, he said.

“The investor community overall doesn’t understand the magnitude of the problem,” Gamaitoni said in a telephone interview. Gamaitoni was a senior financial analyst at Fannie Mae before joining Compass Point, a Washington-based research and investment banking firm founded in 2007 by former executives of Friedman Billings Ramsey & Co.

Bond insurers including MBIA Inc. and investors including three of the government-chartered Federal Home Loan Banks have sued securities underwriters and issuers, citing inaccurate claims over property values and quality of underlying assets. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac collapsed into U.S. conservatorship, while MBIA saw its stock price slide more than 80 percent as losses mounted.

More at: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-08-18/bofa-jpmorgan-may-lead-banks-facing-134-billion-loss-on-loan-repurchases.html

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