Babys Are(n’t) Us….U.S. Birthrate Hits Record Low

| November 30, 2012

Pretty stunning news…..and what does this mean, it means slow or no growth in the economy for many many years.  Oh, and the chart below explains how much government assistance the baby boomers are reliant on, and it becomes worse with the working population slowing, not growing.  The U.S. birthrate fell to a record low last year, coming in […]

A Demographic Scoop, And More Demographic Poop

| January 12, 2012

It’s all about demographics my dear Watson….here’s some food for thought! First up let’s study a graph of the Census Bureau historical and forecast data for the peak-spending cohort population in the U.S. from 1980 to 2050. The Age 45-49 cohort peaked in 2009 and will bottom out in 2022 after an estimated decline of […]

Baby Boomer’s Looking Ahead 30 Years…The Predicament

| November 21, 2011

Uh, what…so  what are we looking ahead to, again? Three sisters ages 92, 94 and 96 live in a house together. One night the 96 year old draws a bath.. She puts her foot in and pauses… She yells to the other sisters, “Was I getting in or out of the bath?” The 94 year old yells […]

Demographics, My Dear Watson

| September 18, 2011

We’ve gone over this before, but it looks like the idea is catching on….Grey bearded baby boomers are in trouble…..but many don’t even know it!  Deutsche Bank, in a new report expects stock market investors to lose about 10% of their money — in real terms — over the next 10 years, while the economy goes […]

Federal Reserve Bank: Hard Years Ahead For Baby Boomers

| August 22, 2011

Demographics my dear Watson……According to a Federal Reserve Bank report just out stocks could fall an average of 13% over the next ten years solely because of retiring baby boomers. The actual P/E ratio should decline from about 15 in 2010 to about 8.3 in 2025. The model-generated path for real stock prices implied by demographic trends […]

Demographics…My Dear Watson!

| April 10, 2011

Here is why things are broken for baby boomers, and unlikely to get a lot better any time soon! The interesting thing about the post-war baby boom and our guns-and-butter generation isn’t what happened during or as a result of this population tidal wave, but what didn’t happen:  the birth rate in America abruptly fell […]

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