Philly Fed Misses Expectations As Outlook Nears Cyclical Peak

| January 19, 2012

The six-month ahead outlook for Philly Fed shows a very high level of ‘hope’. Expectations for the data was a 10.3 and it came at 7.3, a definitive miss to expectations. Revisions rise to 7.3 (from 6.8 revised) is heralded (in a short-lived manner) as evidence of improvement. Under the covers though, things aren’t so rosy. New Orders […]

Labor Force Participation Rate Drops To 25 Year Low: 64.1%

| July 8, 2011

These ratios are looking terrible.  How can anyone expect the economy or real estate for that matter to turn with these kinds of numbers.  Or, are we just being too logical here?  Baby boomers are screwed.  Plain and simple. The civilian labor force has declined to 64.1%.   The employment to population ratio also slumped to a multi decade […]

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