Pimco’s El-Erian Says We Are In Unchartered Waters Here!

| May 20, 2010

By Rita Nazareth May 20 (Bloomberg) — The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index’s 12 percent decline from April’s high may worsen amid concern that Europe’s debt crisis will derail global growth, said Mohamed A. El-Erian, chief executive officer of Pacific Investment Management Co. “This is not a typical retracement,” El-Erian, 51, whose firm runs the […]

Arizona Votes For A Tax Hike

| May 19, 2010

Here is the scoop,  or should we say the poop!       In case you missed it, Arizona voters overwhelmingly approved Proposition 100 on Tuesday, which raises the state sales tax by one percentage point for three years. A whopping two-thirds majority voted for the move.  Arizona’s budget crisis is one of the worst in the country, […]

Oil News…Specifically, the Miami Herald points out that – according to the Coast Guard – The Spill Is Getting Worse In Spite Of The Insertion Tube:

| May 19, 2010

New BP Insertion Tube Isn’t Working   Submitted by George Washington on 05/19/2010    Tube inside the leaking oil pipe – unfortunately – isn’t doing very much. Specifically, the Miami Herald points out that – according to the Coast Guard – the spill is getting worse in spite of the insertion tube:  The massive Gulf […]

U.S. Economy One In Ten Mortgages Delinquent (New Record), One In Twenty In Foreclosure

| May 19, 2010

  by Tyler Durden on 05/19/2010   From Goldman’s Jan Hatzius. Delinquencies and Foreclosures Rise Again Data just released by the Mortgage Bankers’ Assn show that more than one-tenth of all US mortgages are delinquent, a new record high. Homes in foreclosure edge up slightly as well. One caveat: the increases are driven by seasonal […]

Whopping $9 Billion In Equity Fund Outflows Following Flash Crash ….Looks Like A “Hot Potato Market”

| May 19, 2010

05/19/2010 14:01 -0500 ICI has reported the most recent fund flow data, and it’s a doozy. In the week following the flash crash, domestic equity funds saw a whopping $8.6 billion in outflows. As a result, the YTD outflow is over $9 billion, so in essence after almost going back to breakeven before May 6, […]

U.S. State Pensions Becoming Federal Issue

| May 19, 2010

By Nicole Bullock in New York and Hal Weitzman in Chicago Published: May 19 2010 20:44 | Last updated: May 19,2010 Illinois used to have a plan to pay off the gaping shortfall in the pension funds that pay retired teachers, university employees, state workers, judges and politicians, Dan Long recalls. Mr Long, director of […]

Mortgage Delinquencies And Foreclosures Break Records

| May 19, 2010

Alan Zibel, AP Real Estate Writer,     Wednesday May 19, 2010 WASHINGTON (AP) — The mortgage crisis is dragging on the economic recovery as more homeowners fall behind on their payments. Analysts expect improvement soon, but the number of homeowners in default or at risk of foreclosure will have a lingering effect on the broader economy. […]

Gene Inger…..We Ain’t Seen Nothing Yet!

| May 19, 2010

We ain’t seen nothing yet.  There’s an old story of a guy who, when asked how he went broke during the Great Depression, responded: ‘slowly; then all at once’. We’re in a new era; which while there will be snapbacks and melancholy attempts to restore the past excesses (whether consumerism or governmental spending levels); they […]

Conspiracy Of Banks Rigging State Municipal Bond Deals

| May 18, 2010

By Martin Z. Braun and William Selway May 18, 2010  (Blomberg) — A telephone call between a financial adviser in Beverly Hills and a trader in New York was all it took to fleece taxpayers on a water-and-sewer financing deal in West Virginia. The secret conversation was part of a conspiracy stretching across the U.S. […]

South Korea: North Responsible For Torpedo Attack

| May 18, 2010

By John Pomfret and Blaine Harden Washington Post Staff Writers Tuesday, May 18, 2010; 2:47 PM South Korea will formally blame North Korea on Thursday for launching a torpedo at one of its warships in March, causing an explosion that killed 46 sailors and heightened tensions in one of the world’s most perilous regions, U.S. […]

Newt Gingrich Forecasts Obama Loss

| May 18, 2010

Heads up …………..Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich gives President Barack Obama only a 20 percent chance of being reelected  and says he might be the one to give Obama the boot.  Giving predictions for November’s midterms, Gingrich said House Republicans will pick up somewhere between 40 and 65 or 70 seats enough to gain control […]

Of 4.5 Million US Tax Filers With Income Over $200,000, 13,142 Paid No US, 4,354 Paid No Worldwide Income Tax

| May 17, 2010

05/17/2010  The latest IRS Statistics Of Income Report is out. In it, the IRS focuses on the wealthy segment of US population, i.e., those falling over the proverbial $200,000/year cutoff. What the IRS finds, is that in 2007, of the 4,576,315 tax returns with expanded income of $200,000 or more, 13,142 (0.287%) had no US […]

Katla Volcano Rumbling

| May 17, 2010

Katla Volcano Just Rumbled Permalink Is the sleeping Katla waking up? On May 17, 2010 08:32 UTC, The Iceland Met office indicates that a small earthquake has occurred at the Katla location. In what could be an early indication of the event that is expected to occur (an eruption of Katla), a small earthquake is […]

All About Oil

| May 17, 2010

With only so much oil to go around, every new off-take agreement signed by the Chinese with the Saudis or Venezuelans, for example, is a net loss in supply to other bidders, notably the world’s largest energy consumer, the United States. That the Chinese, and other countries, are aggressively securing long- term energy arrangements, coincidental […]

Gulf of Mexico Oil Spill……..Scientists Find Giant Plumes Of Oil Forming Under The Gulf

| May 15, 2010

  Jim Wilson/The New York Times By JUSTIN GILLIS Published: May 15, 2010 Scientists are finding enormous oil plumes in the deep waters of the Gulf of Mexico, including one as large as 10 miles long, 3 miles wide and 300 feet thick. The discovery is fresh evidence that the leak from the broken undersea […]

U.S. Bankruptcies Resume Upward Path In 1st Quarter

| May 14, 2010

Fri May 14, 2010 3:01pm EDT  * Nevada has most filings per capita, Arizona filings soar  By Jonathan Stempel  NEW YORK, May 14 (Reuters) – U.S. bankruptcy filings resumed their upward climb in the first quarter, nearly equaling their highest level since 2005, as high unemployment and a still-strained housing market squeezed consumers. There were […]

The Road To Default

| May 14, 2010

The Road to Default Follow the capital flows, people. As money flees from the European bond market, it runs to the safety of US debt, stocks, and gold. The race to the fiat bottom, however, ensures that it’s only a matter of time before the US devalues again and capital begins to flee the safe […]

What A Travesty….Newest Wall St. Probe Focuses On Muni Bets…..

| May 14, 2010

These security firms are dirty skunk smelling sewer rats in 30 feet of nuclear waste…..they’re so bad that they glow in the dark. The latest in a string of Wall Street inquiries is focused on municipal bonds. The SEC has reportedly opened a preliminary investigation into possible conflicts of interest among firms that sold municipal […]

Jim Sinclair Says The Bailout Of U.S. States Is Coming, 33 Are In Trouble.

| May 14, 2010

Illinois Deep In Debt, Doesn’t Pay Bills

| May 14, 2010

Illinois deep in debt, doesn’t pay bills Crisis pushes businesses, organizations to edge of bankruptcy   By CHRISTOPHER WILLS SPRINGFIELD, Ill. – For 35 years, frail senior citizens in southern Illinois could turn to the Shawnee Development Council for help cleaning the house, buying groceries or any of the chores that make the difference between […]

Oil Slickonomics – Part 3

| May 13, 2010

May 13, 2010     “We have breaking news on the oil spill in the Gulf.     Anderson Cooper, 10 PM, May 13, 2010, CNN   CNN breaking news tonight reports that the estimate of 5000 barrels a day spilling from the BP well in the Gulf of Mexico may be very low.  A Purdue […]

Australian Prime Minister Speaks Out

| May 13, 2010

Muslims who want to live under Islamic Sharia law were told on Wednesday to get out of Australia , as the government targeted radicals in a bid to head off potential terror attacks.I am tired of this nation worrying about whether we are offending some individual or their culture. Since the terrorist attacks on Bali , we […]

Are Tax Credits for Homebuyers Still Available? Yes

| May 12, 2010

May 12th, 2010                     by Tim Manni Have you heard of any other government programs or tax credits for home buyers? While the federal homebuyer tax credit for both first-time and repeat buyers have expired, several states are offering their own incentives to promote and maintain homeownership.   California Offers $10,000 to Homebuyers One example is […]

Lets Look At The 1929 Crash…..Heads Up, Just A Reminder Of The Unthinkable!

| May 11, 2010

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The Average American Has Very Little In Retirement Savings!

| May 11, 2010

Source:  U.S. Census The average person will have a hard time once retired.  These stats are numbing to say the least. The average retirement accounts for many Americans is near $50,000, but half of Americans have $2,000 or less in their account. Many middle class Americans are simply not prepared for retirement.  Even with Social Security, […]

Federal Food-stamps ……Sets New Record At Almost 40 Million People! That’s About One In Every Eight

| May 11, 2010

(Reuters) – Nearly 40 million Americans received food stamps — the latest in an ever-higher string of record enrollment that dates from December 2008 and the U.S. recession, according to a government update. Food stamps are the primary federal anti-hunger program, helping poor people buy food. Enrollment is highest during times of economic distress. The […]

Art Cashin From The Floor Of The New York Stock Exchange……..Dissecting The Somewhat (?) Suspect Payroll Data

| May 11, 2010

When we read this from Art Cashin, it becomes painfully clear why the government can’t be trusted on its statistics which are self serving to say the least! Dissecting The Somewhat Suspect Payroll Data – As we suggested in yesterday’s Comments, Friday’s non-farm payroll numbers got swallowed up by the on-going worries about Greece.  But, the […]

Bank Owned Homes (REO) Set New All Time Record

| May 10, 2010

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Volcano Air Travel Disrupted Over Europe Again

| May 10, 2010

Gordon_Gekko    05/10/2010     Satellite photo of Iceland’s Eyjafjallajökull volcano May 7th, 2010 (via NASA Earth Observatory)  I know right now everyone is focused on the drama playing out in Europe over Greece et. al., but there is another little sideshow being produced over there by Mother Nature which has the potential to take centerestage and […]

Is the Federal Reserve Behind The European Bailout?

| May 10, 2010

By Larry Doyle|May 10, 2010, 12:57 PM|Author’s Website   Is the American taxpayer ultimately bailing out the European Union? Far fetched? Don’t be so sure. While the focus of the European bailout is on the European Central Bank, the European Union, and the IMF, little attention is being given to swap lines which were reopened […]

Morgan Stanley’s Stephen Roach See’s Increasingly More Frequent And More Dire Crises Coming Up

| May 10, 2010

Tyler Durden    05/10/2010   Morgan Stanley’s Stephen Roach spoke with Bloomberg’s Tom Keene earlier, pointing out the most troubling statistic about recent market activity, which has to do with both the frequency and amplitude of catastrophes: “The crises are coming with greater frequency. Over the last 25 years we have had an average of one […]

Oil Slickonomics Update

| May 10, 2010

May 10, 2010 In “Oil Slickonomics”, part 1, http://www.cumber.com/commentary.aspx?file=050210.asp , we set forth three scenarios for the BP disaster.  They are “bad,” “worse,” and “ugliest.”  Events are now moving from bad to worse.     BP’s attempt to install a large funnel-type device is running into problems.  They have shifted the device several hundred yards away […]

Looks Like The Biggest “Save” Ever…..EU Crafts $962 Billion Show Of Force

| May 9, 2010

This is huge……..European policy makers unveiled an unprecedented loan package worth nearly $1 trillion and a program of securities purchases as they spearheaded a drive to stop a sovereign-debt crisis.    Inflation dead ahead………Gold and Silver looks to be the ultimate store of wealth.  The world debt will be staggering!      By James G. Neuger and […]

The Latest Oil Slick Map

| May 8, 2010

Let’s Not Forget What Warren Buffett Said…..Financial Derivatives Are Weapons Of Mass Destruction! Next Up, Interest Rate Derivatives

| May 8, 2010

Beware Of The Mortgage Modification Plan….Foregiven Debt Is Taxed As Income In Most Cases

| May 8, 2010

Though not every homeowner who’s underwater on a mortgage need worry, many are finding that a foreclosure or other form of housing loss can lead to a big tax obligation. As the U.S. economy continues struggling with the fallout of the debt-induced housing crisis, millions of homeowners like Ms. McDaniel are discovering that their decision […]

Why The Center Cannot Hold……John Mauldin’s “Outside The Box”

| May 7, 2010

Risks associated with the fiscal deficits. And by the way, we should note that 25 of 27 European countries are running deficits in excess of 3% of GDP. Ireland has a deficit of 14.3%. Portugal is at almost 10%. Greece is almost 14%. Here is a table from Variant Perception in London, from data from […]

The Credit Default Swaps “Roulette Wheel”…..Jim Sinclair Shares His Opinion

| May 7, 2010

The solution is the problem. “Main Street is in the hands of a Roulette Wheel.”    The name of the “Roulette Wheel” is Credit Default Swaps. It does not matter what the G-7 or the G-20 does. It does not matter what the IMF, ECB and Fed under a beard do. Mrs. Merkel’s foolish political […]

European Debt Turmoil

| May 7, 2010

The Globe and Mail in Toronto put together a good visual (below) on how financially exposed the larger and stronger economies of Western Europe are to the region’s teetering nations. Think of all the turmoil caused by Greece – the external debt load of Spain and Ireland together is more than eight times greater.

Chart Of The Four Bad Bears….Updated

| May 6, 2010

Chart Of The Four Bad Bears….Updated

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