U.S. Threatens Bankruptcy for GM, Chrysler
Posted By thestatedtruth.com on April 4, 2009
Posted By thestatedtruth.com on April 4, 2009
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Things continue to fall apart…………Home Prices in 20 U.S. Cities Fell by a Record 19% in January ……… The S&P/Case-Shiller index‘s decrease was more than forecast and compares with an 18.6 percent decrease in December. The gauge has fallen every month since January 2007, and year- over-year records began in 2001.  Downward Path….All 20 cities in the index showed a year-over-year price decrease in January, led by a 35 percent drop in Phoenix and 32.5 percent drop in Las Vegas.  All of the 20 areas covered also showed declining home prices from the prior month. There are very few bright spots that one can see in the data, David Blitzer, chairman of the index committee at S&P, said in a statement. Most of the nation appears to remain on a downward path.
-John Schultz
By Shobhana Chandra
March 31 (Bloomberg) —
Home Prices in 20 U.S. Cities Fell by a Record 19% in JanuaryÂ
The S&P/Case-Shiller index’s decrease was more than forecast and compares with an 18.6 percent decrease in December. The gauge has fallen every month since January 2007, and year- over-year records began in 2001.
A glut of unsold properties may keep prices low, shrinking household wealth and damping spending. Still, sales of new and previously-owned homes rose in February, indicating the housing slump, now in its fourth year, may ease as policy efforts to unclog credit and aid borrowers begin to take hold.
“Arresting the slide in home prices will be key to ending the recession,â€Â John Silvia, chief economist at Wachovia Corp. in Charlotte, North Carolina, said before the report. Other recent data though, he said, indicate “the housing slump may be nearing a bottom.â€
The home price index was projected to decline 18.6 percent from a year earlier, according to the median forecast of 29 economists in a Bloomberg News survey, after an originally reported drop of 18.5 percent in December. Estimates ranged from declines of 17.2 percent to 19 percent.
From a month earlier, home prices fell 2.8 percent in January, after a 2.6 percent drop in December, the report showed. The figures aren’t adjusted for seasonal effects, so economists prefer to focus on year-over-year changes instead of month-to-month.
‘Downward Path’
All 20 cities in the index showed a year-over-year price decrease in January, led by a 35 percent drop in Phoenix and 32.5 percent drop in Las Vegas.
All of the 20 areas covered also showed declining home prices from the prior month.
“There are very few bright spots that one can see in the data,â€Â David Blitzer, chairman of the index committee at S&P, said in a statement. “Most of the nation appears to remain on a downward path.â€
Foreclosures surged 29.9 percent in February from a year earlier after rising 17.8 percent in January, according to RealtyTrac Inc. An estimated one in every 440 homes is in some stage of foreclosure.
Still, recent reports showed builders broke ground on 22 percent more homes in February than the prior month — when starts plunged to a record low — and that sales of new and previously owned houses increased, signaling the industry’s decline may be closer to reaching a bottom.
Mortgage Rates
Lower prices and borrowing costs are attracting some buyers. The National Association of Realtors’ affordability index increased to a record in February. Mortgage rates for 30- year fixed loans fell to a record low in the week ended March 20, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association.
KB Home, a Los Angeles-based homebuilder that caters to first-time buyers, last week reported a narrower loss in the quarter ended Feb. 28, and said net new-home orders rose 26 percent from a year earlier, the first gain since the fourth quarter of 2005.
Also, while job losses are hurting Americans’ confidence, retail sales fell less than forecast in February and consumer spending had a second straight monthly gain. Economists predict the recession may ease in the second half of this year after the economy shrank 6.3 percent last quarter, the most since 1982.
Federal Reserve officials last week voiced confidence the economy will show signs of recovery by year-end, responding to unprecedented monetary stimulus and the Obama administration’s $787 billion fiscal package.
“Resumption of growth should not be too far off,†Minneapolis Fed President Gary Stern said in a speech on March 26. He added, “Once under way, the pace of expansion is likely to be subdued for some time.â€
Robert Shiller, chief economist at MacroMarkets LLC and a professor at Yale University, and Karl Case, an economics professor at Wellesley College, created the home-price index based on research from the 1980s.
To contact the reporter on this story: Shobhana Chandra in Washington at schandra1@bloomberg.net
Last Updated: March 31, 2009 09:01 EDT
Posted By thestatedtruth.com on March 31, 2009
Meredith Whitney has it figured out. She has been way ahead of everybody else on banking. She is now in the process of opening her own investment firm…………………..The big-bank model isn’t going to last much longer, banking industry analyst Meredith Whitney said at the Journal’s Future of Finance Initiative, and said a more sustainable approach would be bigger regional banks. Whitney, famous for foreseeing the troubles facing Citigroup, suggested that key parts of the big banking model made them susceptible to the types of problems that caused the financial crisis. One issue is the physical distance between loan originators and borrowers. Good lending results from a relationship with borrowers, and regional banks are in a better position to take advantage of those relationships. She added that five banks controlling two-thirds of mortgage origination and credit cards is fundamentally unbalanced.  Good points indeed!
-John Schultz
The big-bank model isn’t going to last much longer, banking industry analyst Meredith Whitney said at the Journal’s Future of Finance Initiative, and said a more sustainable approach would be bigger regional banks.
| Meredith Whitney at the Journal’s Future of Finance Initiative. (Paul Morse) |
Whitney, famous for foreseeing the troubles facing Citigroup, suggested that key parts of the big banking model made them susceptible to the types of problems that caused the financial crisis. One issue is the physical distance between loan originators and borrowers. Good lending results from a relationship with borrowers, and regional banks are in a better position to take advantage of those relationships. She added that five banks controlling two-thirds of mortgage origination and credit cards is fundamentally unbalanced.
Instead, she suggested “supercharging†regional lenders. One possibility is that if stress tests help healthy banks and lead them to return TARP money, some of those funds could be transferred to local banks to encourage consolidation (on a smaller scale) in that sector. She also sees the potential for regional banks to take on business from nonblank lenders who were decimated by the subprime crisis.
Regional lenders have grown angry at their larger counterparts, as evidenced by a conference in Phoenix last week. They are angry that the big players have given bankers a bad name. They cheered comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke and Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. chief Sheila Bair about the need to clamp down on megabanks.
However, not all smaller banks are created equal. While the majority of local banks are faring well and didn’t receive any TARP money, most of the 42 banks that have failed since the start of last year were community institutions.
Posted By thestatedtruth.com on March 31, 2009
I hope not……………sounds very inflationary to say the least!      President Barack Obama‘s budget would generate unsustainably large deficits averaging almost $1 trillion a year over the next decade, according to the latest congressional estimates, significantly worse than predicted by the White House just last month. The Congressional Budget Officefigures, obtained by The Associated Press Friday, predict Obama’s budget will produce $9.3 trillion worth of red ink over 2010-2019. That’s $2.3 trillion worse than the White House predicted in its budget. Worst of all, CBO says the deficit under Obama’s policies would never go below 4 percent of the size of the economy, figures that economists agree are unsustainable. By the end of the decade, the deficit would exceed 5 percent of gross domestic product, a dangerously high level.
-John Schultz
WASHINGTON (AP) — President Barack Obama’s budget would generate unsustainably large deficits averaging almost $1 trillion a year over the next decade, according to the latest congressional estimates, significantly worse than predicted by the White House just last month.
The Congressional Budget Office figures, obtained by The Associated Press Friday, predict Obama’s budget will produce $9.3 trillion worth of red ink over 2010-2019. That’s $2.3 trillion worse than the White House predicted in its budget.
Worst of all, CBO says the deficit under Obama’s policies would never go below 4 percent of the size of the economy, figures that economists agree are unsustainable. By the end of the decade, the deficit would exceed 5 percent of gross domestic product, a dangerously high level.
The latest figures, even worse than expected by top Democrats, throw a major monkey wrench into efforts to enact Obama’s budget, which promises universal health care for all and higher spending for domestic programs like education and research into renewable energy.
The dismal deficit figures, if they prove to be accurate, inevitably raise the prospect that Obama and his allies controlling Congress would have to consider raising taxes after the recession ends or otherwise pare back his agenda.
White House budget chief Peter Orszag said that CBO’s economic projections are more pessimistic than those of the White House, private economists and the Federal Reserve and that he remained confident that Obama’s budget, if enacted, would produce smaller deficits.
Even so, Orszag acknowledged that if the CBO projections prove accurate, Obama’s budget would produce unsustainable deficits.
“Deficits in the, let’s say, 5 percent of GDP range would lead to rising debt-to-GDP ratios that would ultimately not be sustainable,” Orszag told reporters.
Deficits so big put upward pressure on interest rates as the government offers more attractive interest rates to attract borrowers.
“I think deficits of 5 percent (of GDP) is unsupportable,” said economist Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Economy.com. “It will lead to higher interest rates to the point where it will force policymakers to make changes.”
Republicans immediately piled on.
“Under the President’s plan, our debt will increase to shocking levels that are simply unsustainable and will devastate future economic opportunities for our children and grandchildren,” said Sen. Judd Gregg, R-N.H., the top Republican on the Budget Committee.
But without referencing the figures, Obama insisted on Friday that his agenda is still on track.
“What we will not cut are investments that will lead to real growth and prosperity over the long term,” Obama said. “That’s why our budget makes a historic commitment tocomprehensive health care reform. That’s why it enhances America’s competitiveness by reducing our dependence on foreign oil and building a clean energy economy.”
Many Democrats were already uncomfortable with Obama’s budget, which promises to cut the deficit to $533 billion in five years. The CBO says the red ink for that year will total $672 billion.
The worsening economy is responsible for the even deeper fiscal mess inherited by Obama. As an illustration, CBO says that the deficit for the current budget year, which began Oct. 1, will top $1.8 trillion, $93 billion more than foreseen by the White House.
The 2009 deficit, fueled by the $700 billion Wall Street bailout and diving tax revenues stemming from the worsening recession, is four times the previous $459 billion record set just last year.
The CBO’s estimate for 2010 is worse as well, with a deficit of almost $1.4 trillion expected under administration policies, about $200 billion more than predicted by Obama.
By the end of the decade, the deficit under Obama’s blueprint would go back up to $1.2 trillion.
Long-term deficit predictions have proven notoriously fickle — George W. Bush inherited flawed projections of a 10-year, $5.6 trillion surplus and instead produced record deficits — and if the economy outperforms CBO’s expectations, the deficits could prove significantly smaller
Democrats in Congress are readying Obama’s budget for preliminary votes next week, and they promise to cut the deficit in half within five years.
Democrats are likely to curb somewhat Obama’s request for a 9 percent increase in non-defense agency budgets.
Obama’s $3.6 trillion budget for the 2010 fiscal year beginning Oct. 1 contains ambitious programs to overhaul the U.S. health care system and initiate new “cap-and-trade” rules to combat global warming.
Both initiatives involve raising federal revenues sharply higher, but those dollars wouldn’t be used to defray the burgeoning deficit.
Republicans say Obama’s budget plan taxes, spends and borrows too much, and they’ve been sharply critical of his $787 billion economic stimulus measure and a just-passed $410 billion omnibus spending bill that awarded big increases to domestic agency budgets.
The administration says it inherited deficits totaling $9 trillion over the next decade and that its budget plan cuts $2 trillion from those deficits. But most of those spending reductions come from reducing costs for the war in Iraq.
Copyright © 2009 The Associated Press. All rights reserved.
Posted By thestatedtruth.com on March 31, 2009
It looks like the Credit Unions may be next to get into hot water…………………..funny thing is they all say everything is just fine, until it isn’t.       In the latest move by federal authorities to prop up the nation’s banking system, regulators late Friday seized control of the two largest wholesale credit unions in the U.S. after finding that their losses on mortgage-related securities were larger than previously thought. U.S. Central Corporate Federal Credit Union in Lenexa, Kan., and Western Corporate Federal Credit Union in San Dimas, Calif., which have a total $57 billion in assets, were taken into conservatorship by federal regulators. U.S. Central and Western Corporate have been grappling for more than a year with large paper losses on a slew of assets, mostly mortgage related. In January, regulators moved to prop up U.S. Central with a $1 billion infusion after it took big write-downs on some of the securities.    Woe’a, one of these credit union failures is in my home city, San Dimas, Ca.
-John Schultz
In the latest move by federal authorities to prop up the nation’s banking system, regulators late Friday seized control of the two largest wholesale credit unions in the U.S. after finding that their losses on mortgage-related securities were larger than previously thought.
U.S. Central Corporate Federal Credit Union in Lenexa, Kan., and Western Corporate Federal Credit Union in San Dimas, Calif., which have a total $57 billion in assets, were taken into conservatorship by federal regulators.
Michael E. Fryzel, chairman of the National Credit Union Administration, the industry’s federal regulator, said the seizure was necessary to maintain the integrity of the credit-union system and protect the insurance fund that backs up deposits in thousands of retail credit unions.
The affected institutions don’t serve the general public. They provide critical financing, check clearing and other tasks for the retail institutions. These wholesale credit unions, known in industry parlance as corporate credit unions, are owned by their retail credit-union members.
The vast majority of regular credit unions, the bank-like cooperatives familiar to millions of account holders nationwide, are considered financially sound. Credit unions have more than 90 million members nationwide.
U.S. Central and Western Corporate have been grappling for more than a year with large paper losses on a slew of assets, mostly mortgage related. In January, regulators moved to prop up U.S. Central with a $1 billion infusion after it took big write-downs on some of the securities.
Mr. Fryzel said regulators acted Friday after becoming convinced that the two institutions were underestimating the true scope of their losses. “With us in control we’d get honest numbers,” he said. Mr. Fryzel said regulators plan to replace top management at both institutions.
In total, the 28 wholesale credit unions in the U.S. were showing paper losses of about $18 billion as of Dec. 31. Mr. Fryzel said regulators aren’t concerned about the health of any other wholesale credit union besides the two brought into conservatorship.
Mr. Fryzel said NCUA’s latest estimate is that wholesale credit unions will eventually have to realize between $10 billion and $16 billion in losses on their holdings. The agency on Friday also raised its estimate for what these losses will cost its insurance fund, to $5.9 billion from the prior $4.7 billion estimate.
NCUA had said it would make up the expected losses in the insurance fund by dunning the nation’s thousands of retail credit unions. But after an outcry from the industry, Mr. Fryzel said the agency’s board now plans to ask Congress in the coming week for authority to borrow money from the Treasury. He said the industry isn’t looking for a bailout, and would repay all such borrowings.
Write to Mark Maremont at mark.maremont@wsj.com
Posted By thestatedtruth.com on March 31, 2009
Not surprising to say the least……………………………The number of probes by the Federal Bureau of Investigation into corporate fraud and mortgage fraud is growing by the month.FBI Deputy Director John Pistole told a House panel Friday that the bureau has more than 2,000 open investigations into mortgage fraud as well as 566 corporate-fraud investigations.Mr. Pistole said 43 of those corporate-fraud investigations involve “matters directly related to the current financial crisis.”  The FBI has opened 36 new corporate-fraud investigations and 200 new mortgage-fraud investigations in recent weeks.Mr. Pistole said the FBI continues to experience “an exponential rise” in the number of fraud investigations it is conducting, “a trend we expect to continue.” the FBI has opened 36 new corporate-fraud investigations and 200 new mortgage-fraud investigations in recent weeks. Mr. Pistole said the FBI continues to experience “an exponential rise” in the number of fraud investigations it is conducting, “a trend we expect to continue.”
-John Schultz
WASHINGTON — The number of probes by the Federal Bureau of Investigation into corporate fraud and mortgage fraud is growing by the month.
FBI Deputy Director John Pistole told a House panel Friday that the bureau has more than 2,000 open investigations into mortgage fraud as well as 566 corporate-fraud investigations.
Mr. Pistole said 43 of those corporate-fraud investigations involve “matters directly related to the current financial crisis.”
Those numbers are all larger than those Mr. Pistole offered to a Senate committee last month.
Comparing Mr. Pistole’s testimony Friday with the data he gave to the Senate Judiciary Committee in February, it appears the FBI has opened 36 new corporate-fraud investigations and 200 new mortgage-fraud investigations in recent weeks.
Mr. Pistole said the FBI continues to experience “an exponential rise” in the number of fraud investigations it is conducting, “a trend we expect to continue.”
He said the FBI’s investigations on corporate fraud and financial-institution failures are focused on accounting fraud, insider trading and financial-statement manipulation.
the FBI has opened 36 new corporate-fraud investigations and 200 new mortgage-fraud investigations in recent weeks.
Mr. Pistole said the FBI continues to experience “an exponential rise” in the number of fraud investigations it is conducting, “a trend we expect to continue.”
President Barack Obama’s 2010 budget proposal and various bills introduced in Congress call for additional financial resources for the Justice Department and the FBI to investigate fraud cases.
Write to Brent Kendall at brent.kendall@dowjones.com
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