Protests Erupt In Syria

| April 8, 2011

The Middle East is a fuse looking for a match…. Syrian security forces opened fire on tens of thousands of protesters across several cities Friday, killing at least 20 people, wounding hundreds and forcing residents to turn mosques into makeshift hospitals.

Real Estate Sales Of Tomorrow, Happened Yesterday (Or 2002-2006 As May Be The Case)

| April 1, 2011

Governments are STUPID……Last week we found out that fewer new houses were sold in February than in any month since they started keeping records in 1963….yep, the more you give somebody, the more they become reliant on it, then when it stops, they don’t know what to do.  We’re seeing this same thing happen over and over.  […]

The Guardian Is Reporting That The Core At Reactor 2 May Have Melted To Concrete

| March 29, 2011

News is leaking out of Japan on the nuclear reactors, no pun intended…..General Electric experts are talking of  a blob of nuclear lava as an end result of a total melt down on unit 2 which appears to be a total loss.  If true, the “experts” say it should take away the risk of explosion!  Workers […]

Japanese Electrical Grid: The Perfect Storm For Slow Economic Recovery

| March 28, 2011

They gotta be kidding…… Nope                                                           Question: Why can’t Japanese electrical power be moved around such a small country?  Answer:  Electrical power can’t be moved for a simple, stunning reason. The northern half of Japan uses 100 volt, 50 hertz (cycles per second) electricity and the southern half uses 100 volt, 60 hertz. If you pump 60 hertz […]

Stay Focused Folks

| March 23, 2011

We have world changes in the Middle East.  We have peak oil production. We have inevitable hyperinflation. But all the attention is currently on Japan,  as markets forget the growing foundation of international dislocation. Stay focused…… Stay disciplined. www.jsmineset.com

Crippled Cooling Pump At Reactor #2 Puts Power Restoration Plan At Risk

| March 21, 2011

We have a long long way to go before this problem goes away! TEPCO managed to restore the power supply to its radioactive power plant. The key problem at hand has not been fixed at all. Not even close. According to New York Daily News: “Cooling pumps at one of Japan’s crippled nuclear reactors are damaged beyond […]

Israel Warplanes Fly Over Gaza, Bomb Hamas Military Site

| March 21, 2011

Black Swans everywhere…… ISRAELI WARPLANES HIT HAMAS MILITARY SITE IN GAZA, XINHUA SAYS ISRAELI GAZA ATTACKS INJURE FIVE PEOPLE, AL-ARABIYA REPORTS ISRAELI WARPLANES FLYING OVER GAZA, AL-ARABIYA REPORTS

Atomic Energy Commission And The Nuclear Regulatory Commission Lied About Major Accidents For Years

| March 19, 2011

Question….Do governments ever tell the truth?  Doesn’t seem so. The NRC said in the 1980’s that it was estimated that there was a 50% chance of a nuclear meltdown within the next 20 years,  which would be so large that it would contaminate an area the size of the State of Pennsylvania, and would result in huge numbers […]

Allied Forces Attack Libya…Middle East: A Match Looking For A Stick Of Dynamite

| March 19, 2011

Are we seeing the start of WW III…..? U.S. and coalition forces launched military strikes against Libya, gambling that a rapid and substantial attack could knock out loyalist support for Gadhafi. Gaza Fires 50 Mortars Into Israel, Heaviest Barrage In Two Years….. Israel is sure to bring even more geopolitical tension, especially with Iran adn […]

Stratfor On Japan, The Persian Gulf And Energy

| March 15, 2011

03-15-2011 Japan, The Persian Gulf And Energy  By George Friedman Over the past week, everything seemed to converge on energy. The unrest in the Persian Gulf raised the specter of the disruption of oil supplies to the rest of the world, and an earthquake in Japan knocked out a string of nuclear reactors with potentially […]

Update: Some Added Thoughts On Japan

| March 15, 2011

Some more thoughts on Japan….we are told, (hopefully correctly), that this is more of a repeat of a Three Mile Island situation where half the fuel rods melted, than Chernobyl where they all did.  And…Small amounts of low radiation cesium and iodine have already been released, which should be measurable on American roof tops in about ten […]

Japanese Nuclear Meltdown World Weather Map

| March 14, 2011

Should any of these plants go into full meltdown (indications are (2) already have) there will be both a human and economic disaster worse than 1945. Japan’s nightmare gets even WORSE: All THREE damaged nuclear reactors now in ‘meltdown’ at tsunami-hit power station.   By Richard Shears Last updated at 5:09 PM on 14th March 2011 The […]

Nuclear Experts Explain Worst-Case Scenario At Japan’s Fukushima Power Plant

| March 13, 2011

Let’s review the specific power plant in question, the General Electric design BWR Mark 1. “This is a boiling water reactor. It’s one of the first designs ever developed for commercial reactors in this country, and it’s widely used in Japan as well. Compared to other reactors, if you look at NRC studies, according to calculations, […]

Japanese Government Confirms Nuclear Reactor Core Meltdown

| March 12, 2011

  Stratfor: Japanese Confirm Meltdown   March 12, 2011 Japan’s Nuclear and Industrial Safety Agency (NISA) said March 12 that the explosion at the Fukushima Daiichi No. 1 nuclear plant could only have been caused by a meltdown of the reactor core, Japanese daily Nikkei reported. This statement seemed somewhat at odds with Japanese Chief […]

Friday’s Events In The Middle East Will Be Front And Center

| March 10, 2011

  Red Alert: Saudi Police Fire On Protesters In Oil Hub March 10, 2011 Saudi police have reportedly opened gunfire on and launched stun grenades at several hundred protesters March 10 rallying in the heavily Shiite-populated city of Qatif in Saudi Arabia’s oil-rich Eastern Province. The decision to employ violence in this latest crackdown comes […]

Cumberland Continues To Say “This Is Nowhere Near Over” On Middle East Problems

| March 10, 2011

Cumberland Advisors Day of Rage March 10, 2011 Modern technology.  Read email of Saudi events on WiFi at 38,000 feet.  This will be brief. The day of rage came early.  All outcomes are speculative.  Contagion has reached Saudi Arabia. Recent history shows Al-Qaida actively targeted Saudi Arabia several times.  Until now, no success.  Events in […]

A Review Of The U.S. Air Force’s Secretive X-37B Orbital Test Vehicle Space Plane

| March 3, 2011

Wow, this sure looks spacey…come to think of it, that makes total sense!  Unlike NASA’s space shuttles, the X-37B space plane does everything autonomously. It also has a solar array that is deployed from its payload bay to generate power during its months-long stay in orbit.  The first X-37B spacecraft launched in April 2010 and […]

Stratfor: Never Fight A Land War In Asia

| March 1, 2011

  Never Fight A Land War In Asia By George Friedman | March 1, 2011 U.S. Secretary of Defense Robert Gates, speaking at West Point, said last week that “Any future defense secretary who advises the president to again send a big American land army into Asia or into the Middle East or Africa should have […]

STRATFOR On Bahrain, At The Center Of Middle East Oil Shipping Lanes

| February 25, 2011

Some good points about Bahrain….and why it’s important to oil! Bahrain lies in the middle of an age-old contention between Iran and Saudi Arabia… and the balance between the two rivals could soon be tipped. A strong Iraq was a nice buffer between Saudi Arabia and Iran, but a strong Iraq is no more. Now […]

Warning: Get Ready For A ‘Global Katrina’…. Biggest Ever Solar Storm Could Cause Power Cuts Which Last For MONTHS

| February 21, 2011

Earth is overdue a massive solar storm as the sun enters its most active period…..We’ve been talking about this for a while.   Heads up everybody…..Have cash on hand and 30-60 days of food, water, toilet goods etc, and lots of flash lights and batteries and keep your car gas tank at least half full at […]

British Foreign Minister Reports Gaddafi On Way To Venezuela…Gaddafi Says No, He Is In Tripoli

| February 21, 2011

Inquiring minds want to know what happens to the Libyan Gold….Uh, one guess…It follows Gaddafi out of Libya.  Duh! Libya had 143.8 tonnes of Gold and is (was) the ninth largest oil producer!

Iran Sending Warships Through The Suez Canal For First Time Since 1979

| February 16, 2011

Tension is rapidly building in the Mid East.  JERUSALEM—Iran is sending two warships through the Suez Canal en route to Syria, Israel’s foreign minister said Wednesday, calling the act a “provocation” that Israel cannot ignore. The Iranian plan described by Foreign Minister Avigdor Lieberman would take the warships past Israel’s coast. While it would pose no significant […]

Algeria Next Up?

| February 14, 2011

Will the growing vacuum in power be filled by the Brotherhood? That’s the big risk here! Algeria shuts down internet and Facebook as protest mounts……. Internet providers were shut down and Facebook accounts deleted across Algeria on Saturday as thousands of pro-democracy demonstrators were arrested in violent street demonstrations. By Nabila Ramdani Plastic bullets and […]

Cumberland Associates: Personal Observations About Egypt By Peter Alois

| February 14, 2011

Good read here, it’s a tough and dangrous new world in the Mideast….. February 14, 2011 Peter Alois is a director of the Global Interdependence Center and one of my colleagues there.  He is retired from the Commercial Service of the U.S. Department of Commerce, where he had many years of experience posted in the Middle East.  […]

Chaos In The Mideast As Unrest Spreads

| February 13, 2011

Anyone that thinks the problems are over in the Mideast had better rethink things.  Egypt is but one match in a box full of match sticks. Cairo, Egypt (CNN)— Egypt’s military dissolved the country’s Parliament and suspended its constitution Sunday following the ouster of longtime leader Hosni Mubarak, telling Egyptians it would be in charge […]

Stratfor Red Alert: Mubarak Resigns, Military Is In Charge

| February 11, 2011

  February 11, 2011 Egyptian Vice President Omar Suleiman delivered the following statement Feb. 11: “In the name of God the merciful, the compassionate, citizens, during these very difficult circumstances Egypt is going through, President Hosni Mubarak has decided to step down from the office of president of the republic and has charged the high […]

Stratfor Alert: The Egyptian Military’s Options

| February 10, 2011

February 10, 2011 The decision by Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak not to resign seems to have shocked both the Egyptian military and Washington. CIA Director Leon Panetta spoke earlier as if his resignation was assured and a resolution to the crisis was guaranteed. Sources in Cairo spoke the same way. How the deal came apart, […]

U.S. And China Threaten Each Other According To WikiLeaks Documents

| February 3, 2011

The United States threatened to take military action against China during a secret “star wars” arms race within the past few years, according to leaked documents obtained by The Daily Telegraph.   By Tim Ross, Holly Watt and Christopher Hope The two nuclear superpowers both shot down their own satellites using sophisticated missiles in separate […]

Stratfor: Special Report On The Egypt Crisis In A Global Context

| January 30, 2011

January 30, 2011 By George Friedman The Egypt Unrest: Full Coverage It is not at all clear what will happen in the Egyptian revolution. It is not a surprise that this is happening. Hosni Mubarak has been president for more than a quarter of a century, ever since the assassination of Anwar Sadat. He is […]

Heads Up On The United States And Egypt…

| January 30, 2011

In a nut shell it’s not going well for the U.S. interests in Egypt, as our favorability rating in Egypt hit an all time low of 17% in 2010!

Land Locked Between Tunisia And Egypt…Guess Who? Yep Libya And Its Dictator Since 1969, Muammar Abu Minyar al-Gaddafi

| January 30, 2011

Gaddafi has had a long run as dictators go, and at 68 he’s no spring chicken. Al Jazeera reports that the Libyan government has imposed a state of emergency for “fear of demonstrations and rallies” comparable to those in Tunisia and Egypt. And ranked 17 in the world for oil production (and 9th in proven reserves), […]

Tough Love Against The United States

| January 30, 2011

Fodder for change…. Jordan’s economy struggles, weighed down by a record deficit of $2 billion this year, rising inflation and rampant unemployment and poverty. AMMAN, Jordan (AP) – The leader of Jordan’s powerful Muslim Brotherhood Hammam Saeed’s warned Saturday that unrest in Egypt will spread across the Mideast and Arabs will topple leaders allied with the […]

Egypt….Mohamed ElBaradei: “Change Is Coming”

| January 30, 2011

The big question now is how far does this all spread around the Middle East? Egyptian opposition leader Mohamed ElBaradei made his way through the crowd in Cairo’s Tahrir Square on Sunday in an appearance that defied the military curfew and President Hosni Mubarak’s 30-year regime. “You have taken back your rights and what we […]

Arabic Broadcaster Al-Jazeera Shut Down In Egypt

| January 30, 2011

It was just a matter of time before this happened…The Qatari government bankrolled Al-Jazeera when it launched in 1996 and is believed to still fund the station, but it operates with considerable editorial freedom compared with other government-run media outlets in the Arab world. Anti-government riots also have spread to Yemen, where President Ali Abdullah […]

Just So You Know…The Egypt Full Shutdown Of The Internet And Mobile Phone Networks Is First In History

| January 29, 2011

Just how important is the Internet…well, without it your bank ATM won’t work, nor will most cash registers of major chain stores or many gas stations…the stock market wouldn’t open nor would the commodity markets, the electric grid could be effected so might water works, etc, etc. And we don’t really know what total effect it […]

Iran, Tunisia And Syria Have Imposed Internet Restrictions In Attempts To Quell Opposition

| January 28, 2011

The move by Egyptian authorities to seal off the country almost entirely from the Internet shows how easily a state can isolate its people when telecoms providers are few and compliant. “Virtually all of Egypt’s Internet addresses are now unreachable, worldwide,” Jim Cowie, chief technology officer of U.S.-based Internet monitoring firm Renesys wrote on the […]

Egypt Updates

| January 28, 2011

Sounds like Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak is just buying some time….before heading out the back door!  In the past, most exits around the Middle East seem to lead to France, Great Britain or the U.S. Updated 5:31 p.m. (0031 in Egypt) Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak says he has asked the government to resign, and that he will […]

WikiLeaks Rival Launches New Platform Called “OpenLeaks”

| January 28, 2011

How timely…..just as the World Economic Forum meets in Davos of all places! DAVOS, Switzerland — A former WikiLeaks spokesman launched a rival website Friday, saying he planned to give whistleblowers more control over the secrets they spill. The new platform, called OpenLeaks, will allow sources to choose specifically who they want to submit documents […]

Stratfor Watch Report: Unconfirmed Reports of Military, Police Clashing in Egypt

| January 28, 2011

  January 28, 2011 Unconfirmed reports from Al Jazeera on Jan. 28 say the army and police forces are clashing in Cairo. These reports have come after reports from state-owned Egyptian satellite Al-Misriyah TV saying army leadership extended the curfew from 6 p.m. to 7 a.m. local time to the whole country. www.stratfor.com

Egypt Shuts Down Internet And Text Messaging Ahead Of Million-Man Protests

| January 27, 2011

Reports are emerging that Internet has gone down in Cairo and throughout Egypt, only hours before the largest planned protests get rolling. More from the HuffPo: According to a report from The Arabist, “Egypt has shut off the internet.” The Los Angeles Times is reporting that BlackBerry Internet has been taken offline in Egypt.

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