Them Boys Weren’t Who We Thought They Were!

| November 23, 2010

Hey, they got to be kidding, don’t they? Mr. Mansour was apparently not Mr. Mansour!   “It’s not him, said a Western diplomat in Kabul intimately involved in the discussions. And we gave him a lot of money”….How do you spell Morons! Taliban Leader In Secret Talks Was An Impostor By DEXTER FILKINS and CARLOTTA GALL Published: November […]

The Wealth-Income Pyramid

| November 22, 2010

The Problem:  Out of 113 million households, 1/100 of 1% rake in $10 million or more annually. As consumers, the top 5% carry the same weight as the bottom 80%. The top 10% take in 50% of the income. (The sources are listed in Two Americas: The Gap Between the Top 5% and the Bottom […]

This May Be What We Have To Look Forward To Unless Big Changes Are Made Soon To Our Political, Debt, Retirement And Social Structures!

| November 22, 2010

It doesn’t take a rocket scientist to see that new layoffs of state and federal workers are near at hand in this debt/economic cycle.  What will be the reaction to this new found forced austerity?  That’s the million dollar question! www.jsmineset.com

The Tax Increase Issue….No Good Solutions

| November 21, 2010

So,  there will probably be a new vote in congress for unemployment benefits before year end, seeking a simple majority to pass, unlike the recent legislative tactic brought by the Democrats requiring a super majority (2/3’s) vote…..which failed!  As for the tax issue vote, it’s anyones guess. The Administration has said it wants all tax increases to […]

Lame Duck Iowa Governor Culver OKs State Pay Raises

| November 21, 2010

Reckless and Irresponsible are the only (2) words for this….. Iowa Gov. Chet Culver’s administration agreed Friday to offer pay increases for state employees that will cost taxpayers more than $200 million, despite Republican requests that the decisions be delayed until Terry Branstad becomes governor in January.A Branstad spokesman called the deal “reckless,” and House Republican […]

Ireland Seeks EU-Led Bailout, Works To Avert Bank `Collapse’

| November 21, 2010

Ireland has an unprecedented budget deficit — equaling one-third of its economic output this year!  This bailout is a no-brainer, but up until now Ireland has said they didn’t need any help…..Geez!  Finance Minister Brian Lenihan said Ireland will apply for a bailout as it sets itself up to be the second euro member to seek a rescue […]

Mortgage Rates Are On The Rise

| November 18, 2010

Home-mortgage rates surged to their highest level in three months, showing implications of the recent spike in Treasury yields and causing another headache for the Fed. The rate for a 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage averaged 4.39% last week, according to Freddie Mac, up from a record-low 4.17% the week before. Rates on 15-year fixed-rate mortgages were 3.76%, up […]

Unemployment Benefits Extension Fails House Supermajority Vote

| November 18, 2010

Let’s look behind the scenes here.   This vote required a supermajority in the House of Representatives because of a legislative tactic purposely used by the Democrats. So…It required approval from two-thirds of the House for passage and was (solely) used to portray Republicans as unsympathetic.  Current benefits are now set to expire on Nov. 30 for an estimated 4 million Americans. Legislation that would […]

Former Treasury Secretary Robert Rubin’s Bold Warning To The U.S. Fed

| November 18, 2010

If this happens, there will be no winners.  Interest rates would rise rapidly, real estate would see a new leg down (bigger then anyone thought possible) and stock and commodity markets across the globe would implode!    Robert Rubin: “U.S. In Terribly Dangerous Territory,” Bond Market May Be Headed For “Implosion”   Aaron Task  Warning of the risk […]

28’th Consecutive Week Of Domestic Equity Fund Outflows

| November 17, 2010

ICI Data shows the 28’th consecutive week of domestic equity fund outflows and $86 billion in outflows for the year! 

After Going Bankrupt On June 1’st 2009, General Motors Raises More Than $20.1 Billion In New Initial Offering

| November 17, 2010

It all sounds good but not so fast……GM’s owners, including the U.S. Treasury, sold at least $15.8 billion of common shares at $33 each, making it the second-largest U.S. Initial Public Offering (IPO) on record according to data compiled by Bloomberg.  GM  received $49.5 billion in a taxpayer bailout just last year. The Treasury, which is taking a loss on […]

New Ideas (Potential Disasters) From Congress

| November 17, 2010

Looks like the VAT (Value Added Tax) or what is also known as the Consumption Tax is picking up steam.  We suggest that time and understanding be entered into any equation of change.  Let’s try to simplify the tax system going forward, not complicate things further. All of this spending got us nowhere.  The nation cannot […]

John Mauldin’s Latest “Outside The Box” E-Letter

| November 16, 2010

John Mauldin Reviews Gary Shilling’s Brand New Book,   The Age of Deleveraging: Investment Strategies For A Decade Of Slow Growth And Deflation.  Some of his opinions are covered below. Roadblocks on the deleveraging highway may include a crisis in U.S. commercial real estate (Chart 5) that could exceed the earlier one in housing. Then there’s a possible […]

State Attorney Generals And Banks Prepare Settlement

| November 16, 2010

CNBC’s Diana Olick reports that the investigation into the biggest financial fraud in recent history is about to be closed.  State AGs are nearing a settlement with banks, which will slap a few wrists, see banks put some money in a settlement fund, and will result in some principal reductions.  Then everything will be well again.  Oh, and banker […]

The Day Of Reckoning For State Governments

| November 16, 2010

It looks like the day of reckoning is close at hand for state governments. Illinois faces a deficit for the fiscal year beginning July 1, 2011, that could reach $15 billion—more than half the state’s general-fund budget.  California faces a deficit next year of $25.4 billion, twice the size of previous forecasts and California Gov. […]

Federal Workers Making Over $180,000 Increase By 2,000% In The Past Five Years And Congress Is Planning On Giving Them A 1.4% Across The Board Pay Raise. At The Same Time Social Security Recipients Get A 0% Cost Of Living Raise….That’s Right, ZERO

| November 15, 2010

Write your congressman about this!  On second thought maybe not, they’re in on this whole ruse.  Yes, it is a ruse! Since 2000, federal pay and benefits have increased 3% annually above inflation compared with 0.8% for private workers, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Members of Congress earn $174,000, up from $141,300 in 2000. […]

Troubled California Begins $14 Billion Bond Sale….For Some, Hope Springs Eternal!

| November 15, 2010

The rate will tell the story. If the rate is reasonable then it is illogical. If it is illogical then QE  (Quantitative Easing) has started to bail out states.             Jim Sinclair This two-part sale of so-called revenue anticipation notes (Rans) allows California to bridge the gap to its tax season in the spring…… Hopefully!   Notice […]

European Central Bank Heading Down A Dark Road

| November 15, 2010

Europe Stumbles Blindly Towards Its 1931 Moment By Ambrose Evans-Pritchard  Nov 15, 2010 Unless the ECB takes fast and dramatic action, it risks destroying the currency it is paid to manage, and allowing a political catastrophe to unfold in Europe. If mishandled, Ireland could all too easily become a sovereign version of Credit Anstalt – […]

The Resilient Household

| November 14, 2010

The Worlds “Cleanest” Nations

| November 14, 2010

Comments From John Mauldin’s Latest “Thoughts From The Frontline”

| November 13, 2010

John Mauldin says…….”If the Bush tax cuts are not extended, in my opinion it is almost a lock that we go into recession next year, unemployment goes to 12%, and underemployment gets even worse”. The only real way to pay for all these benefits will ultimately be a value-added tax, or VAT.     A VAT looks […]

Swaps Backfire, Here Is The Front Runner To Another Gigantic OTC Derivative Credit Default Swaps Wipe Out, The Only Question Is How Long Before It Gets Out Of Hand

| November 13, 2010

This is peanuts compared to what the OTC derivative credit default swaps are going to cost. According to the National Conference of State Legislatures, U.S. cities saw their general fund revenue fall the most since at least 1986 in the budget year that ended June 30, according to the National League of Cities.   States now face […]

California’s Schwarzenegger Declares Fiscal Emergency

| November 13, 2010

It’s the rainy season in California…..Schwarzenegger Declares Emergency, Calls Special Budget Session November 12, 2010 By Michael B. Marois Nov. 12 (Bloomberg) — California Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger, citing a $25.4 billion budget gap over the next 19 months, declared a fiscal emergency and called lawmakers to a special session next month to begin dealing with […]

Banks Get One-Year Reprieve On Tougher Standards As “G-20” Members Kick The Can Down The Road

| November 12, 2010

This is called kicking the can down the road!   “You can tell from the FSB statements that there’s been a huge amount of controversy,” said Barbara Matthews,  managing director of BCM International Regulatory Analytics LLC in Washington. “Some of these issues have been on the international agenda for decades, and still there’s no end in sight […]

Almost 3 Million Americans Are Set To Lose Federal Benefits

| November 12, 2010

Three federally funded unemployment programs are set to end soon! The programs are the additional compensation pay program, the emergency pay program, and the extended benefits program. Unless lawmakers intervene with another emergency package, the federal benefits will begin to expire starting Nov. 30 through Dec. 11.

U.S. Postal Service Loses $8.5 Billion in 2010

| November 12, 2010

The trouble continues at the U.S. Postal Service.  It lost a record $8.5 billion, and said almost two thirds of the deficit, or $5.5 billion, covered health-benefit costs for future retirees.  Hey, here’s a novel idea (not)…. let’s raise the cost of postage stamps every year, that way the postal workers can keep their retirement benefits.  The U.S. […]

27’th Consecutive Week Of Domestic Fund Outflows

| November 10, 2010

ICI Data shows the 27th consecutive week  of domestic fund outflows, commencing with the May flash crash, and resulting in $85 billion in retail outflow YTD. www.zerohedge.com

No Sunshine For California’s State Budget

| November 10, 2010

This is unbelievable….beyond belief……..California’s deficit over the next year and half has gone vertical soaring to $25.4 billion. California faces a far-larger budget shortfall than state officials were projecting only weeks ago. The deficit over the next year and half has soared to $25.4 billion, the state’s chief budget analyst said on Wednesday. The startling figure […]

New U.S. Debt Proposal Would Eliminate The Mortgage Interest Deduction And Raise The Gas Tax Amoung Other Things!

| November 10, 2010

A presidential commission’s leaders proposed a $3.8 trillion deficit-cutting plan that would trim Social Security and Medicare, reduce income-tax rates and eliminate tax breaks including the mortgage-interest deduction. November 10, 2010 Bloomberg Wiping out all tax breaks, including the home mortgage deduction, while lowering tax rates would save $100 billion a year according to Erskine Bowles, co-chairman […]

Food Price Fears May Be Near…..U.S. Warns On Crop Short Falls

| November 10, 2010

A major point in the long weather cycle occurs in 2011…….Demand is soaring and crop yields are shrinking. This alone will send agricultural prices higher.  Now add aggressive currency devaluation into the mix and we can better understand the direction of capital flows.  The phrase budget pain will soon redefine the grocery checkout experience. From the FT:  (FT) — The spectre […]

U.S. Commander: U.S. Will Be Fighting In Afghanistan In 2014

| November 9, 2010

These endless wars will bankrupt America eventully! Tuesday, November 09, 2010 By Edwin Mora (CNSNews.com) – U.S. Lt. Gen. William Caldwell, the commander of the NATO training mission in Afghanistan, indicated today that U.S. forces will still be fighting in Afghanistan in 2014, with current plans aiming to have “Afghan security forces in the lead” and U.S. […]

Nearly All State Unemployment Funds Are In Deep Deficits!

| November 9, 2010

Deficits such as these are not limited to California. Illinois, Wisconsin, Texas, New York, New Jersey, and/or nearly ever State in the Union have drained their unemployment insurance funds and must start paying the federal government interest on the borrowed money in 2011. The markets already know that there’s no way the States will  have […]

FDIC Approves Temporary Unlimited Deposit Insurance Coverage For Noninterest-Bearing Transaction Accounts

| November 9, 2010

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE  November 9, 2010 The Board of Directors of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) today approved a final rule to implement section 343 of the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act (Dodd-Frank Act). Section 343 provides temporary unlimited coverage for noninterest-bearing transaction accounts. This separate coverage will become effective on […]

Bank Of America And J.P. Morgan Showed Perfect Trading Records Last Quarter, Making Money On Every Trading Day

| November 9, 2010

There is a school of thought that says many markets are rigged….gasp.  When we see results such as these for the big Banks and Wall Street firms, it only serves to fan those fires, and in the process create more doubt about the fairness in the “new normal” markets! Bank of America Corp. and J.P. Morgan Chase & Co.  the two […]

President Obama Still Behind The Curve As The New Normal Is Getting Old

| November 8, 2010

Huh?   Where has this guy been for the past two years?   According to The Wall Street Journal: ‘President Barack Obama warned in an interview on CBS’s 60 Minutes about the danger of a “new normal” taking hold of the economy – an environment in which businesses become accustomed to fewer employees and the U.S. […]

Germany Continues To Voice An Opinion On The U.S. Economic Policy…..Hint: They’re Not A Happy Camper!

| November 8, 2010

Germany:   U.S. debt and interest policy generally “doesn’t add up” and the U.S. model is in “deep crisis”.  .  Hmm, so what happens if this U.S. policy fails…….inquiring minds want to know?       German Finance Minister, Wolfgang Schuble, offered some withering criticism of the Fed’s move and U.S. economics.  Here’s a bit from the […]

Cumberland’s Oil Slickonomics – Part 13 – Idle Iron

| November 8, 2010

Oil Slickonomics-Part 13-Idle Iron November 8, 2010 In our recent comment entitled Oil Slickonomics  Part 12 we discussed how the federal government is implementing a policy that functions as a de facto moratorium, even though the Obama administration has formally lifted the de jure oil drilling moratorium.  We appreciate the readers who responded, and we […]

Obama Health Care…Coming To You Soon! Doesn’t Look To Simple, Does It?

| November 8, 2010

To get a visual idea of the complexity surrounding the new health-care requirements, you can peruse the following chart prepared by the Joint Economic Congressional Committee, which outlines the bureaucratic Frankenstein that is being created. I’m printing the chart in a size that is too small to read here, just to give you the idea. […]

Cumberlands Oil Slickonomics – Part 12 – An Update

| November 7, 2010

Oil Slickonomics-Part 12-An Update November 4, 2010 We will start this note with two links.  The first is to the October 2010 edition of the National Geographic.  It is devoted to the Gulf oil spill, with a comprehensive report that includes excellent maps and photos.  Those who lean green will find support in this assemblage of […]

The Federal Reserve Does Quantitative Easing II. QE1 Cost $1.7 Trillion And Had Small Returns

| November 6, 2010

Here are some shocking numbers…..Personal incomes are not going up.  In fact, the income data is downright scary for the U.S.    The largest group of wage earners – a massive 24 million or 16% of the total wage group  – made between 1 red cent and $4,999.99.  On average they earned $2,016.   The average wage for […]

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