It’s A New World For Debtors In Bankruptcy

| November 25, 2010

A re-designed bankruptcy law was the end result of a huge successful lobbying effort by the banks back in 2005.  Congress hadn’t envisioned a surge in bankruptcies when it re-designed the bankruptcy law to make it harder for consumers to walk away from their debts. Americans are expected to file for bankruptcy-court protection this year at a […]

Hungary’s`Nightmare’ Pension-Fund Ultimatum

| November 25, 2010

From Bloomberg News By Zoltan Simon  Nov 25, 2010 Hungary is giving its citizens an ultimatum: move your private-pension fund assets to the state or lose your state pension. Economy Minister Gyorgy Matolcsy announced the policy yesterday, escalating a government drive to bring 3 trillion forint ($14.6 billion) of privately managed pension assets under state […]

China And Russia Decide To Renounce U.S. Dollar In Bilateral Trade

| November 25, 2010

www.ingerletter.com This has been ignored in the press.  So why is this a big deal?  Well, because there are more dollars outstanding abroad then in the United States, and we’re really just beginning to see this kind of dollar mischief.  But trust the world, there will be more. China, Russia Quit Dollar By Su Qiang and Li Xiaokun (China […]

The European Union Hopes To Double Bailout Fund

| November 25, 2010

Germany just said “No”  Thought this was a shoe in but…… BERLIN—The European Commission floated a proposal Wednesday to double the size of Europe’s €440 billion bailout fund for indebted euro-zone countries, but the idea was quickly dismissed by Germany, according to people familiar with the situation. The apparent disagreement between Brussels and Berlin comes […]

European Bailout…..Digging A Deep Hole With More Debt!

| November 24, 2010

It seems that the European bailout buck will stop with Portugal unless more money is added (it will be).  When Europe created the EFSF it did not think it would need to serially bail out everyone.  But now the EFSF needs more money to cover a bailout of Spain, and then what about Italy?  Inquiring minds want to know! […]

A Worried Fed Lowers U.S. Growth Forecasts

| November 23, 2010

So, the talking heads are pressing up U.S.  growth prospects while the Fed gets more worried.  Hmm…… From The Wall Street Journal Fed officials downgraded their assessment of the economy at a November meeting as they debated the benefits and costs of bond purchases, minutes showed.  Fed officials downgraded their growth projection to between 3% […]

China’s Leadership Scrambles To Contain Run Away Food Inflation!

| November 23, 2010

The Chinese haves vs. the have-nots and the Chinese rich vs. the poor ….will be at the forefront of China’s immediate problems.  This is how revolutions start. Don’t think for a second that the Chinese leadership doesn’t know or worry about this fact! This from Art Cashin On the floor of The New York Stock Exchange……. Remember Wen – Chinese Premier Wen […]

The Wealth-Income Pyramid

| November 22, 2010

The Problem:  Out of 113 million households, 1/100 of 1% rake in $10 million or more annually. As consumers, the top 5% carry the same weight as the bottom 80%. The top 10% take in 50% of the income. (The sources are listed in Two Americas: The Gap Between the Top 5% and the Bottom […]

This May Be What We Have To Look Forward To Unless Big Changes Are Made Soon To Our Political, Debt, Retirement And Social Structures!

| November 22, 2010

It doesn’t take a rocket scientist to see that new layoffs of state and federal workers are near at hand in this debt/economic cycle.  What will be the reaction to this new found forced austerity?  That’s the million dollar question! www.jsmineset.com

The Tax Increase Issue….No Good Solutions

| November 21, 2010

So,  there will probably be a new vote in congress for unemployment benefits before year end, seeking a simple majority to pass, unlike the recent legislative tactic brought by the Democrats requiring a super majority (2/3’s) vote…..which failed!  As for the tax issue vote, it’s anyones guess. The Administration has said it wants all tax increases to […]

Ireland Seeks EU-Led Bailout, Works To Avert Bank `Collapse’

| November 21, 2010

Ireland has an unprecedented budget deficit — equaling one-third of its economic output this year!  This bailout is a no-brainer, but up until now Ireland has said they didn’t need any help…..Geez!  Finance Minister Brian Lenihan said Ireland will apply for a bailout as it sets itself up to be the second euro member to seek a rescue […]

Former Treasury Secretary Robert Rubin’s Bold Warning To The U.S. Fed

| November 18, 2010

If this happens, there will be no winners.  Interest rates would rise rapidly, real estate would see a new leg down (bigger then anyone thought possible) and stock and commodity markets across the globe would implode!    Robert Rubin: “U.S. In Terribly Dangerous Territory,” Bond Market May Be Headed For “Implosion”   Aaron Task  Warning of the risk […]

Prime U.S. Mortgage Foreclosures Rise to Record

| November 18, 2010

Prime means the top qualified and most credit worthy people, the highest rated and least likely to default. Foreclosures on prime fixed-rate mortgages in the U.S. jumped to a record in the third quarter as unemployment strained household budgets of the most credit worthy borrowers. Homeowners are falling behind on their mortgage payments as job cuts […]

28’th Consecutive Week Of Domestic Equity Fund Outflows

| November 17, 2010

ICI Data shows the 28’th consecutive week of domestic equity fund outflows and $86 billion in outflows for the year! 

After Going Bankrupt On June 1’st 2009, General Motors Raises More Than $20.1 Billion In New Initial Offering

| November 17, 2010

It all sounds good but not so fast……GM’s owners, including the U.S. Treasury, sold at least $15.8 billion of common shares at $33 each, making it the second-largest U.S. Initial Public Offering (IPO) on record according to data compiled by Bloomberg.  GM  received $49.5 billion in a taxpayer bailout just last year. The Treasury, which is taking a loss on […]

New Ideas (Potential Disasters) From Congress

| November 17, 2010

Looks like the VAT (Value Added Tax) or what is also known as the Consumption Tax is picking up steam.  We suggest that time and understanding be entered into any equation of change.  Let’s try to simplify the tax system going forward, not complicate things further. All of this spending got us nowhere.  The nation cannot […]

John Mauldin’s Latest “Outside The Box” E-Letter

| November 16, 2010

John Mauldin Reviews Gary Shilling’s Brand New Book,   The Age of Deleveraging: Investment Strategies For A Decade Of Slow Growth And Deflation.  Some of his opinions are covered below. Roadblocks on the deleveraging highway may include a crisis in U.S. commercial real estate (Chart 5) that could exceed the earlier one in housing. Then there’s a possible […]

State Attorney Generals And Banks Prepare Settlement

| November 16, 2010

CNBC’s Diana Olick reports that the investigation into the biggest financial fraud in recent history is about to be closed.  State AGs are nearing a settlement with banks, which will slap a few wrists, see banks put some money in a settlement fund, and will result in some principal reductions.  Then everything will be well again.  Oh, and banker […]

The Day Of Reckoning For State Governments

| November 16, 2010

It looks like the day of reckoning is close at hand for state governments. Illinois faces a deficit for the fiscal year beginning July 1, 2011, that could reach $15 billion—more than half the state’s general-fund budget.  California faces a deficit next year of $25.4 billion, twice the size of previous forecasts and California Gov. […]

Troubled California Begins $14 Billion Bond Sale….For Some, Hope Springs Eternal!

| November 15, 2010

The rate will tell the story. If the rate is reasonable then it is illogical. If it is illogical then QE  (Quantitative Easing) has started to bail out states.             Jim Sinclair This two-part sale of so-called revenue anticipation notes (Rans) allows California to bridge the gap to its tax season in the spring…… Hopefully!   Notice […]

Comments From John Mauldin’s Latest “Thoughts From The Frontline”

| November 13, 2010

John Mauldin says…….”If the Bush tax cuts are not extended, in my opinion it is almost a lock that we go into recession next year, unemployment goes to 12%, and underemployment gets even worse”. The only real way to pay for all these benefits will ultimately be a value-added tax, or VAT.     A VAT looks […]

Swaps Backfire, Here Is The Front Runner To Another Gigantic OTC Derivative Credit Default Swaps Wipe Out, The Only Question Is How Long Before It Gets Out Of Hand

| November 13, 2010

This is peanuts compared to what the OTC derivative credit default swaps are going to cost. According to the National Conference of State Legislatures, U.S. cities saw their general fund revenue fall the most since at least 1986 in the budget year that ended June 30, according to the National League of Cities.   States now face […]

California’s Schwarzenegger Declares Fiscal Emergency

| November 13, 2010

It’s the rainy season in California…..Schwarzenegger Declares Emergency, Calls Special Budget Session November 12, 2010 By Michael B. Marois Nov. 12 (Bloomberg) — California Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger, citing a $25.4 billion budget gap over the next 19 months, declared a fiscal emergency and called lawmakers to a special session next month to begin dealing with […]

Banks Get One-Year Reprieve On Tougher Standards As “G-20” Members Kick The Can Down The Road

| November 12, 2010

This is called kicking the can down the road!   “You can tell from the FSB statements that there’s been a huge amount of controversy,” said Barbara Matthews,  managing director of BCM International Regulatory Analytics LLC in Washington. “Some of these issues have been on the international agenda for decades, and still there’s no end in sight […]

U.S. Postal Service Loses $8.5 Billion in 2010

| November 12, 2010

The trouble continues at the U.S. Postal Service.  It lost a record $8.5 billion, and said almost two thirds of the deficit, or $5.5 billion, covered health-benefit costs for future retirees.  Hey, here’s a novel idea (not)…. let’s raise the cost of postage stamps every year, that way the postal workers can keep their retirement benefits.  The U.S. […]

27’th Consecutive Week Of Domestic Fund Outflows

| November 10, 2010

ICI Data shows the 27th consecutive week  of domestic fund outflows, commencing with the May flash crash, and resulting in $85 billion in retail outflow YTD. www.zerohedge.com

No Sunshine For California’s State Budget

| November 10, 2010

This is unbelievable….beyond belief……..California’s deficit over the next year and half has gone vertical soaring to $25.4 billion. California faces a far-larger budget shortfall than state officials were projecting only weeks ago. The deficit over the next year and half has soared to $25.4 billion, the state’s chief budget analyst said on Wednesday. The startling figure […]

New U.S. Debt Proposal Would Eliminate The Mortgage Interest Deduction And Raise The Gas Tax Amoung Other Things!

| November 10, 2010

A presidential commission’s leaders proposed a $3.8 trillion deficit-cutting plan that would trim Social Security and Medicare, reduce income-tax rates and eliminate tax breaks including the mortgage-interest deduction. November 10, 2010 Bloomberg Wiping out all tax breaks, including the home mortgage deduction, while lowering tax rates would save $100 billion a year according to Erskine Bowles, co-chairman […]

Food Price Fears May Be Near…..U.S. Warns On Crop Short Falls

| November 10, 2010

A major point in the long weather cycle occurs in 2011…….Demand is soaring and crop yields are shrinking. This alone will send agricultural prices higher.  Now add aggressive currency devaluation into the mix and we can better understand the direction of capital flows.  The phrase budget pain will soon redefine the grocery checkout experience. From the FT:  (FT) — The spectre […]

Question Of The Day, Week, Month And Year Is This:

| November 9, 2010

What is Quantitative easing….and what is Monetization of debt? Quantitative easing is the monetization of debt. It can take many forms from guaranteeing other obligations to outright purchase of Treasury instruments. The one trillion dollar Euro Rescue Program is without any doubt as big a QE program as the U.S. Ben Bernanke plan. The following […]

FDIC Approves Temporary Unlimited Deposit Insurance Coverage For Noninterest-Bearing Transaction Accounts

| November 9, 2010

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE  November 9, 2010 The Board of Directors of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) today approved a final rule to implement section 343 of the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act (Dodd-Frank Act). Section 343 provides temporary unlimited coverage for noninterest-bearing transaction accounts. This separate coverage will become effective on […]

Bank Of America And J.P. Morgan Showed Perfect Trading Records Last Quarter, Making Money On Every Trading Day

| November 9, 2010

There is a school of thought that says many markets are rigged….gasp.  When we see results such as these for the big Banks and Wall Street firms, it only serves to fan those fires, and in the process create more doubt about the fairness in the “new normal” markets! Bank of America Corp. and J.P. Morgan Chase & Co.  the two […]

Germany Continues To Voice An Opinion On The U.S. Economic Policy…..Hint: They’re Not A Happy Camper!

| November 8, 2010

Germany:   U.S. debt and interest policy generally “doesn’t add up” and the U.S. model is in “deep crisis”.  .  Hmm, so what happens if this U.S. policy fails…….inquiring minds want to know?       German Finance Minister, Wolfgang Schuble, offered some withering criticism of the Fed’s move and U.S. economics.  Here’s a bit from the […]

Cumberland’s Oil Slickonomics – Part 13 – Idle Iron

| November 8, 2010

Oil Slickonomics-Part 13-Idle Iron November 8, 2010 In our recent comment entitled Oil Slickonomics  Part 12 we discussed how the federal government is implementing a policy that functions as a de facto moratorium, even though the Obama administration has formally lifted the de jure oil drilling moratorium.  We appreciate the readers who responded, and we […]

Cumberlands Oil Slickonomics – Part 12 – An Update

| November 7, 2010

Oil Slickonomics-Part 12-An Update November 4, 2010 We will start this note with two links.  The first is to the October 2010 edition of the National Geographic.  It is devoted to the Gulf oil spill, with a comprehensive report that includes excellent maps and photos.  Those who lean green will find support in this assemblage of […]

The Federal Reserve Does Quantitative Easing II. QE1 Cost $1.7 Trillion And Had Small Returns

| November 6, 2010

Here are some shocking numbers…..Personal incomes are not going up.  In fact, the income data is downright scary for the U.S.    The largest group of wage earners – a massive 24 million or 16% of the total wage group  – made between 1 red cent and $4,999.99.  On average they earned $2,016.   The average wage for […]

A Famous Quote…. And We Should Take Note

| November 6, 2010

Mark Twain Said That History Doesn’t Repeat Itself, It Just Rhymes.  The events we are experiencing today look a lot like the same experiences that we had in the 1930s. There are lessons to be taken away from the 1930s that are useful in evaluating both policy and markets today. The lesson that we learned […]

U.S. Consumer Credit Increased $2.1 Billion In September

| November 5, 2010

Interestingly…..Credit-card debt declined for the 25th straight month, while non-revolving loans rose by the most since August 2007. Consumer borrowing in the U.S. unexpectedly increased in September by the most in two years, and saw a surge in non-revolving credit such as college loans and auto financing. Credit rose $2.1 billion and was more then estimated after […]

Fannie Mae And Freddie Mac Get Worse By The Minute….Just More Money Down The Toilet

| November 4, 2010

That flushing sound you hear is just more money down the toilet! Two weeks ago, the FHFA, using Moody’s assumptions and modelling, said that a worst case scenario for Fannie and Freddie could result in total costs to taxpayers of $363 billion, an incremental $220 billion to the $148 billion already spent to keep the […]

Rare Earth’s…..In China We Trust

| November 4, 2010

The so-called “rare earths” would not be rare earths…unless they were rare. “Basically, rare earths are exotic elements that are critical to the future of high tech, clean energy, Big Science and – oh by the way – national defense,” explains Byron King, editor of Outstanding Investments. “The list includes 17 elements like terbium, ytterbium, […]

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