We’re In Deep Demographic Poop, With No Help As Far As The Eye Can See!

| January 24, 2011

It’s hard to have substantial economic growth when you don’t have population growth.  So, real estate will have a hard time bouncing very far, and the same goes for other asset classes that the U.S.Fed has artificially stimulated like stocks and commdities for an example!

Fitness Guru Jack LaLanne Dies At 96

| January 23, 2011

We probably all grew up watching Jack LaLanne on TV….. Jack LaLanne, who died Sunday at age 96 at his home in Morro Bay, Calif., opened a string of gyms in the 1930s and went on to host “The Jack LaLanne Show,” syndicated nationwide. Cheerful and distinctively dressed in a jumpsuit and ballet slippers, Mr. […]

Postal Service Looking To Close Thousands Of Post Offices

| January 23, 2011

Why not just give them all to UPS (United Parcel Service) and Fed Ex….Presto, they would get it figured out in a nanosecond!  But lets remember who we’re dealing with here….Because it’s the government, this could cost many millions of dollars, require multitudes of committees and take years based on the past history of similar decisions. The U.S. Postal Service is […]

Commercial Real Estate In A Nut Shell!

| January 23, 2011

It looks like the calm before another storm created by CRE loans in the next 3 years. We know vacancy rates remain high and we know values have not recovered. LTV ratios look to be very tight for many a bank CRE loan. As mentioned below, we crescendo in terms of CRE loan maturities between now and 2013. […]

Education-Based Inequality Increased In 2010

| January 23, 2011

By Michael Mandel Jan 23, 2011 This chart shows median weekly wages for full-time wage and salary workers, adjusted for inflation, and indexed to 2000 (the data comes from the BLS   ”usual weekly earnings” series). There are three things to take away from this chart. *First, the wage gap between holders of advanced degrees and […]

Listen Up Everyone…This Is Important! … You Will Likely Have But One Chance To Get This Right!

| January 23, 2011

We have followed Clif Droke for a number of years, and his record with the Kress Cycles is one step ahead of most others. The Kress cycles will take on the financial markets, and by extension the economy from 2012-2014.  This will come as a shock for the most optimistic observers.  The final “hard down” phase of the […]

Ireland Throws A Wrench Into The “Euro” Works!

| January 23, 2011

Ireland is out to make things interesting, with a sledge hammer……and everyone thought Europe’s problems were going away!  Hmm! The BBC has just reported that the Irish Green party has pulled out of the ruling coalition with Fianna Fail which is “expected to bring forward the general election from 11 March.” In other words suddenly […]

This Will Become A Popular Headline Going Forward, The Time To Plan Ahead For Everyone Is Now!

| January 23, 2011

So, 5% of the New York state public work force will just go away……California should hope to be so lucky. Headline: N.Y Governor Cuomo Weighs More Than 10,000 Layoffs New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo is weighing plans to lay off more than 10,000 government workers, rivaling the number of pink slips handed out by his father a […]

Who Is The Second Largest Contributor To GDP…..If You Said State And Local Governments You Get A Brownie Button!

| January 22, 2011

From John Mauldin’s “Thoughts From The Front Line” As this budget cutting works its way through the economy, and as inventories are no longer being built (they are already at adequate levels), the growth from the current stimulus (both QE2 and payroll and federal government expenditures) the economy will have to stand on its own […]

California Declares Fiscal Emergency

| January 21, 2011

Jerry Brown, California’s governor, declared a state of fiscal emergency on Thursday for the government of the most populous US state to press lawmakers to tackle its $25.4 billion budget gap. The 72-year-old governor also wants the legislature to back a ballot measure for a special election in June that would ask voters to extend […]

An Economic System On Steroids!

| January 20, 2011

A chart is worth a thousand words, or a couple hundred billion in real, incremental dollars.  This is why things have been getting (slightly) better of late, but when it ends…not if, look out below.  2012-2014 look to be very tough years, if we survive the end of the Mayan Calender (Dec 21,2012) that is! www.zerohedge.com

States Looking For A Way Out To Escape Debt Burdens

| January 20, 2011

Hmm…They’re really getting serious about this.  These pensions will never survive in the current form.  Only a matter of time! Policy makers are working behind the scenes to come up with a way to let states declare bankruptcy and get out from under crushing debts, including the pensions they have promised to retired public workers. […]

Zillow Says Home Price Drop (26%) Exceeds The Great Depression

| January 20, 2011

By Al Yoon NEW YORK (Reuters) – Home prices fell for the 53’rd consecutive month in November, taking the decline past that of the Great Depression for the first time in the prolonged housing slump, according to Zillow. Home prices have fallen 26 percent since their peak in 2006, exceeding the 25.9 percent drop registered […]

Stratfor’s Annual Forecast For 2011

| January 20, 2011

Stratfor’s Annual Forecast ….Here are some examples of this year’s themes: – The U.S. is unlikely to withdraw from Iraq as promised in 2011. – The U.S. economy will grow. – In Europe, more countries will need bailouts. – Russian-German relations will strengthen. – Japan will rot, but it will rot in seclusion. Here are […]

What’s Hidden In The Obama Healthcare Bill….You Won’t Believe Some Of The Things

| January 20, 2011

Bad seats, hey buddy!   Buried in the thousands of pages of the new health bill is this little gem….. “I can make a firm pledge.  Under my plan, no family making less than $250,000 a year will see any form of tax increase.  Not your income tax, not your payroll tax, not your capital gains […]

What’s That Old Saying…Records Are Made To Be Broken!

| January 19, 2011

This is a key story: There were a record low number of housing completions in 2010, breaking the record set in 2009.   In 2010, 1 to 4 unit completions were at a record low 506 thousand. This was just below the 534 thousand units completed in 2009. This is far below the previous record […]

The House Just Voted To Kill The New Healthcare Bill That Everyone But The Politicians Have To Abide By

| January 19, 2011

The bill to repeal Obamacare just passed the House, easily by a vote of 245-188. Now it goes to the Senate, where Harry Reid says it won’t come up for a vote.

Domestic Equity Funds Showed Large Inflow In Latest Period

| January 19, 2011

ICI data for the week ended January 12 showed domestic equity fund  inflows of $3,765 million following last week’s outflow of $4,229. This is the largest inflow going back to 2009. Bond fund flows in everything but Munis were positive. Non-taxables saw another whopper of an outflow, this time for a total of $2.4 billion. […]

Proposed 28’th Amendment To The United States Constitution:

| January 18, 2011

An idea whose time has come!  We would ordinarily say “send a letter to your congressman”, but they’re in a self serving mode with these entitlements, so let’s send this to everybody else that you can think of! Many citizens have no idea that members of Congress retire with the same pay after only one term, […]

From Dr Joe Duarte….Pensions, Budgets, Municipal Bonds, And Property Taxes Are The Key Combination For Municipalities

| January 18, 2011

Dr Joe Duarte has a good feel for this…..With states cutting budgets across the board, where is the growth going to come from? In San Diego an interesting fight between the city and its unions is developing that could set the stage for how things work out in other places with similar problems. According to […]

Inflation………Got Ya! But Uncle Sam Says Trust Us, There Is No Inflation….Hmm, Have They Earned Our Trust? Sort Of Like “There Is No Housing Bubble” or The “Suprime Problem Is Contained” Back In 2007, Didn’t Turn Out So Well, Did It!

| January 18, 2011

This morning, we see Britain’s consumer price index grew in December to an annualized 3.7%. Fuel prices are growing at their fastest pace since July, and food prices are rolling at a rate last seen in May 2009. Like the U.S. Federal Reserve, the Bank of England has an inflation “sweet spot” of 2%. But Britain’s […]

Three Steps To Fix The Mortgage Mess

| January 17, 2011

This read actually makes a lot of sense, and it takes the government out of the picture.  We would add one more thing….. that is for most mortgages to be assumable like they used to be.  The negative short term draw back is that like everything the government gets involved with, once they leave, there will […]

Look At Who Is Number 2 Here! Yep, State And Local Government, The Federal Government Comes In At Number 4

| January 16, 2011

More On The New WikiLeaks Exposures To Come

| January 16, 2011

Expected tomorrow…. “Approximately 40 politicians” will be included in the next WikiLeaks release. The list will include “high net worth individuals, multinational conglomerates and financial institutions – hedge funds”.  They are said to be “using secrecy as a screen to hide behind in order to avoid paying tax”. They come from the US, Britain, Germany, Austria and […]

What’s Up Doc……

| January 15, 2011

Wikipedia is 10 years old!   The site is currently the fifth-most visited Website on the Internet, with about 400 million people visiting each day, looking up information on just about anything — science, math, languages, art, culture, company histories and entries on sports.   What is extraordinary about this free encyclopedia, which contains more than 17 […]

From AARP…..Ten Worst States For Retirement

| January 14, 2011

TopRetirements.com gave the most weight to three criteria: taxes, fiscal health and climate. Each of these factors is important, generally speaking, to retirees. On the financial front, high taxes can eat away at limited incomes, while poor fiscal health can force state governments to raise revenue or cut services. A warm climate is a natural […]

Jeremy Grantham On Ignoring Eisenhower’s Warnings

| January 14, 2011

Wow!  How is it possible that we collectively seem to have forgotten this clear warning? It appears that Eisenhower’s worst fears have been realized and his remarkable and unique warnings given for naught.   “As we peer into society’s future, we – you and I, and our government – must avoid the impulse to live […]

California’s ‘Big One’ Could Be A Flood….Says USGS (U.S. Geological Survey)

| January 14, 2011

This may happen, but one would think it is more likely to be the by product of a devastating earthquake.  California has more risk of catastrophic storms than any other region in the country – even the Southern hurricane states, according to a new study released Thursday. The two-year study by the U.S. Geological Survey is the most […]

Uncle Sam Says Read My Lips, This Doesn’t Count Toward Inflation

| January 14, 2011

The FAO (Food and Agriculture Organization of the United nations) said its food price index jumped 32 percent in the second half of 2010, soaring past the previous record set in 2008. Strained by rising demand and battered by bad weather, the global food supply chain is stretched to the limit, sending prices soaring and […]

Banks Start To Loan To Consumers Again

| January 14, 2011

This can only go so far as the consumer is still over indebted and over taxed, while being hit with inflation (the government says no inflation) and flat earning power!  Debt (other than homes) still has to be payed back at some point and time.  U.S. banks are expanding their loans to consumers for the first […]

Washington Doesn’t Get It!

| January 14, 2011

This from Art Cashin on the floor of The New York Stock Exchange……..Basically the government doesn’t get it!   Last Friday, speaking in Germany, [European Central Bank President] Jean-Claude Trichet said it best: “Monetary policy responsibility cannot substitute for government irresponsibility.” Fiery Fedspeak –There were some interesting comments from several Fed presidents yesterday.  One eye-opener came […]

Giffords Update….Doctor: Giffords Passes ‘Major Milestone’

| January 13, 2011

This is an amazing story! TUCSON, Ariz. — U.S. Rep. Gabrielle Giffords has passed a “major milestone” on her recovery from a gunshot wound to the head, doctors said Thursday. The Arizona congresswoman has been sitting up, dangling her legs on the edge of the hospital bed and moving her limbs in response to commands. That’s […]

Brazil Hit With Torrential Rain

| January 13, 2011

The storms, which began on Tuesday, sent tons of red mud and torrents of water rushing down mountainsides into homes.  At least 348 people have been killed in the last 24 hours as torrential rain triggered mudslides that smashed through towns around Rio de Janeiro in Brazil.  Heavy rains earlier in the week killed 13 […]

House Set To Vote On Repeal Of Healthcare Plan

| January 13, 2011

This will be interesting to say the least!  Even if repeal were to pass the Congress, Obama has said he would veto it.

2011 Starts With $4.2 Billion In OUTFLOWS From Domestic Equity Funds

| January 13, 2011

ICI just revised the last two data points of 2010 which were originally inflows, to one outflow and one minimal inflow.   Looking at last week’s flows, the first of the new year 2011 starts with an equity outflow of $4.2 billion and was the largest one week outflow since early October!

The Newest WikiLeak Threats….Here We Go!

| January 12, 2011

In this week’s New Statesman, WikiLeaks founder Julian Assange talks to John Pilger about his “insurance” files on Rupert Murdoch and Newscorp – and which country is the real enemy of WikiLeaks. To read the entire feature, pick up a copy of this week’s New Statesman available on newsstands from tomorrow. Some highlights of the […]

Commodity Food Grain Prices Roaring On Grain Crop Outlook Data

| January 12, 2011

We’ve been talking about this, it’s called food inflation and it’s about to get out of hand over the next year because of adverse weather……Grain prices soared after the USDA made a deep cut in its outlook for global supplies. 

Well…This Is A Deep Subject, No Pun Intended!

| January 11, 2011

Rising food inflation sparked violence across the Middle East and South Asia over the weekend.  Why?…. Demonstrators were protesting the high cost of staple commodities like sugar, rice and milk.   The outbursts have triggered fears that the world is due for a revisit of the 2008 food protests that rocked many countries. Food prices are now […]

Say What…..The Current Tax Code Has 60,000 Pages Of Stuff Nobody Can Figure Out

| January 11, 2011

Are they kidding….No!   There are 60,000 pages in the current tax code…..Tax reform anybody?  How many college educated people do you know that do their own taxes, let’s rephrase that…how many have a tax professional do the job, go ahead…raise your hands….anybody out there without a hand up? How about that!

WikiLeaks Going On The Offensive

| January 11, 2011

LONDON – WikiLeaks will step up its publication schedule of secret documents, founder Julian Assange announced Tuesday, promising more revelations based on the group’s stash of confidential U.S. embassy cables and other leaks.  “We are stepping up our publishing for matters related to Cablegate and other materials, “Those will shortly be occurring through our newspaper […]

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