A Cold Winter Is Brewing

| December 4, 2010

From Art Cashin on the floor of The New York Stock Exchange………..Moscow and Europe may have its coldest winter in 500 years!  Wheat and Rice in short supply and grain supplies indicating potential shortages next year…..Oh, and Oil heading back towards $100 a barrel!  It’s going to be an expensive winter for heating on the U.S. East Coast, in Europe […]

An Increase To The Federal Government’s Borrowing Limit Probably Will Have To Wait Until Next Year To Be Addressed

| December 4, 2010

We fully expect that the ‘can will get kicked down the road’ on this matter…… WASHINGTON…..An increase to the federal government’s borrowing limit is being considered in talks on extending the Bush-era tax cuts.  But that issue would be politically very toxic. The current federal government debt limit stands at $14.3 trillion, a mark that may be reached […]

Here Are Some Stunning Facts About Cell Phone Usage

| December 4, 2010

www.zerohedge.com

Senate Blocks Middle Class Tax Cut Extension

| December 4, 2010

As expected the Senate votes No on tax deal…..around and around we go, where we stop nobody knows!  Democrats are demanding a one-year renewal of jobless benefits for hundreds of thousands of Americans or no deal on tax cuts. The benefits begin to expire this week.  But….Obama’s top economic advisers are in talks with key lawmakers […]

New Golf “Entitlement” Rules In Effect

| December 3, 2010

The Government has recently appointed a new Golf Czar and major rule changes in the game of golf will become effective as of December 10, 2010.  This is a preview, as the complete rule book (expect 2,000 pages) is being rewritten as we speak.   Here are a few of the changes.: Golfers with handicaps:  ~ below 10 […]

Thinking the Unthinkable

| December 3, 2010

Thinking the Unthinkable By Bill Bonner   This week, like the last one, was dominated by euro babel. Speaking in their various tongues, all at once, Europeans were talking nonsense. Especially Jose-Ignacio Torreblanca. The senior fellow at the European Council of Foreign Relations begins: “in an ideal world,” he says it is “fair and rational” for […]

90% Of Spains Air Traffic Controllers “Call In Sick” In Protest Over Austerity

| December 3, 2010

So inquiring minds want to know…. what happens when the ‘Spanish Flu’ strain hits the United States! Update from the AP:    Spain orders its air traffic controllers to resume work or military will take over control of airspace. That’s some serious flu going around. If you are reading this from an airplane, we can only hope […]

China….Some Anomalies To Look At On A Closer Basis

| December 3, 2010

Some interesting thoughts out of China…………. From Corriente Advisors.  The anomalies in China are some what familiar: Excess floor space exceeds 3.3 billion square meters and there are still 200 m being built this year…. The price to rent ratio is 39.4 times versus 22.8 times in America before the housing crises…. Banks are hiding their exposure […]

Live Chat With WikiLeaks Julian Assange Crashes Guardian Website

| December 3, 2010

The Guardian, which earlier was conducting a live chat with Julian Assange from an undisclosed location, has generated such massive internet traffic that the entire Guardian website (which is the 16th top ranked site in Britain on a regular day getting tens of millions of hits) was knocked out.  Looks to be back up now.   Full transcript from […]

WikiLeaks Domain Provider Drops Them Again…Vagabond, Now In Switzerland

| December 3, 2010

WikiLeaks…. EveryDNS says it dropped the website after it became the “target of multiple distributed denial of service attacks.”    WikiLeaks.org was forced to move its domain name to Switzerland after its U.S. service was withdrawn, may now be banned from French servers. It is “not acceptable” for servers in France to host the site, French Industry […]

Was The Housing Pending Sales Number Really That Good?

| December 2, 2010

Let’s dig a little deeper on this subject…..Here’s what Bloomberg had to say about this morning’s reported jump in pending home sales (signed sales agreements). Pending sales of U.S. existing houses unexpectedly jumped by a record 10 percent in October, indicating the industry at the center of the last recession is stabilizing as the job […]

The 12 American States With Highest Borrowing Risk

| December 2, 2010

A holder of a bond may “buy protection” to hedge its risk of default.  In its simplest form, a credit default swap is a bilateral contract between the buyer and seller of protection. The CDS will refer to a “reference entity” or “reference obligor”, usually a corporation or government. The reference entity is not a […]

House Approves Tax Cuts For The Middle Class Earning Less Than $250,000

| December 2, 2010

We’ll have to see how this plays out in the U.S. Senate over the next few days and weeks.  But as everybody knows, time is running out for 2010.  WASHINGTON…..The U.S. House of Representatives approved legislation to make permanent tax cuts only for households earning less than $250,000 in a symbolic vote aimed at the Democratics as the […]

ECB Extends Liquidity Measures

| December 2, 2010

This was a no brainer……from the ECB (European Central Bank) The ECB has abandoned its plans to wind down emergency support for banks and government debt markets.  The ECB will continue to offer unlimited liquidity to banks for as long as necessary, ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet said at a news conference in Frankfurt Thursday.  It had […]

Stratfor Security Weekly…..Attacks on Nuclear Scientists in Tehran…Dr. Majid Shahriari Killed, Was Working On Iran’s Nuclear Program

| December 2, 2010

Attacks on Nuclear Scientists in Tehran December 1, 2010 By Ben West On the morning of Nov. 29, two Iranian scientists involved in Iran’s nuclear development program were attacked. One was killed, and the other was injured. According to Iranian media, the deceased, Dr. Majid Shahriari, was heading the team responsible for developing the technology […]

S&P Says ‘Wave Of Defaults’ Expected In 2012 As Interest Rates Rise

| December 2, 2010

That’s why they call these types of high yield high risk bonds ,” Junk Bonds”……  High-yield, or junk, debt is rated below BBB- by S&P and an equivalent Baa3 by Moody’s Investors Service. So the governments of the world take interest rates down to current ultra low levels and leave them there for a prolonged period, forcing […]

Distressed Homes In U.S. Sell At 32%-41% Discount

| December 2, 2010

The other shoe is dropping in real estate.  The banks have a lot of inventory to sell, so this will take a while!  Sales of existing homes, which make up more than 90 percent of the market, declined more than forecast in October amid the foreclosure moratoriums and the absence of the tax credit of as […]

How The U.S. Fed Saved The World Banking System…The 35 Foreign Banks Bailed Out Are Listed Below

| December 1, 2010

No wonder the fed didn’t want this material released………Geez, they really did save the World financial system between October 27, 2008 and August 6, 2009! One may be forgiven to believe that via its FX liquidity swap lines the Fed only bailed out foreign Central Banks, which in turn took the money and funded their own […]

Cyber Warfare……From The Latest Issue Of Foreign Affairs

| December 1, 2010

This excerpt from Art Cashin on the floor of The New York Stock Exchange Cyber Warfare – Maybe because of the apparent success of the Stuxnet virus on the Iranian nuclear efforts, there has been a lot of floor chatter about the new age of cyber warfare.  The chatter got a lot more active with the […]

A New Twist To The Internet

| December 1, 2010

In response to Wikileaks website closure……An interesting analysis out of TorrentFreaks contemplates a BitTorrent based DNS which would make shutting down sites virtually impossible. In a direct response to the domain seizures by U.S. authorities during the last few days, a group of established enthusiasts have started working on a DNS system that can’t be […]

Wikileak’s Says It Reopens Website In Sweden

| December 1, 2010

We’re not a believer in journalism at the expense of government or state secrets…..especially when it puts innocent lives at risk.  Wikileaks should rethink their model.    Wikileaks says it has switched its DNS to Sweden, from where it continues operating. Wikileaks tweeted the following response about Amazon’s action shutting down its website: “WikiLeaks servers at Amazon ousted. Free speech the […]

Fed Released Details Of Its Emergency Lending (To Save The World) In 2007

| December 1, 2010

Under orders from Congress pursuant to the Dodd-Frank financial legislation, the Fed has finally released details of its emergency lending starting in 2007. Huffington Post is providing an excellent live-blogging round up as new discoveries are made from the Fed’s data release. Here are some of the more interesting insights: Mutual funds, hedge funds and […]

30’th Consecutive Week Of Equity Fund Outflows

| December 1, 2010

Yes, you are wondering how this is possible while the market is going up?  The logical answer is the powers to be (government) have total control of things for now….but if something should happen to change that (and it will), run baby run! ICI reports for the week ending November 24, we had $2.6 billion in outflows from […]

Wikileaks Website Has Been Shut Down!

| December 1, 2010

This shouldn’t be surprising…….what did he (Julian Assange) think would happen? From Reuters: “Amazon.com ceases hosting services for WikiLeaks website – Senator Lieberman” and  “DHS says Amazon has agreed to stop hosting WikiLeaks.” Game Over…..Julian Assange looks like a hot potato.

Cumberland Advisors…..Explaining The Europe Contagion

| December 1, 2010

David Kotok does a good job of explaining things about this complex problem in Europe. Cumberland Advisors European Contagion December 1, 2010 First an update.  We are scheduled to guest-host CNBC Worldwide Exchange from the London Studio on Friday, December 10.  US viewers may see it at 5 AM New York time. We may start […]

The Debate….Bush tax cuts come now or are (forced) later….When the new Republican House majority arrives in January, it will make its first order of business a retroactive tax cut. Republicans would take front stage from that point on.

| November 30, 2010

Democrats have left themselves in a tough spot on the Bush tax cuts. After delaying the issue until after the election and then being trounced in that election, they find themselves with little leverage. If they cannot come up with a plan that can win 60 votes in the Senate, which means at least two […]

State Tax Revenues Show Improvement….But Still 7% Below Two Years Ago

| November 30, 2010

Financial comparisons with 2009 will make almost anything look good, even state tax revenues which in the third quarter were up 2.6 percent compared with last year. Rockefeller Institute of Government “PIT” refers to personal income taxes. According to preliminary tax collection data compiled by the Nelson A. Rockefeller Institute of Government, 48 early reporting states collected […]

Democrat Group “The Third Party” Proposes Huge Changes For Social Security

| November 29, 2010

We are all going to be real frugal if this plan see’s the light of day!  Currently, individual retirees with $34,000 in outside income and couples with $44,000 must pay taxes on 85 percent of their benefits. The Third Way plan would require individuals earning $50,000 a year and couples receiving $60,000 to pay taxes on […]

President Obama To Announce A Pay Freeze For Federal Workers

| November 29, 2010

It looks like the republican tea party is having an effect of President Obama,  but let’s not forget that this pay freeze comes at all time record high pay levels for government workers.  It looks like the can gets kicked down the road a while, then we’ll start to see pay CUTS! By PETER BAKER Published: November 29, […]

Mortgage Defaults, 492 Days Of Free Rent…..And Counting

| November 27, 2010

The number of days since the average borrower in foreclosure last made a mortgage payment is now 492 days up from 382 days a year ago and a low of 244 days in August 2007.

Pensions: The Lump-Sum Gamble (Fleecing)

| November 27, 2010

More than 90% of employees opt for a lump-sum payout from their pension plan when given the choice.  So the Pension Protection Act was signed in August of 2006 by President George W. Bush.  But who does it protect.  Well certainly not the employee!  Interestingly, the current change has received so little notice that most people aren’t […]

Derivatives Nearly Took Down The World Financial System Back In 2008-2009, Have We Learned Anything From That Near Death Experience

| November 25, 2010

The answer is NO!…..Over the counter (OTC) derivatives are larger now then in 2008.  Logic says that a currency or interest rate surprise could do the derivative trick next time around.  These markets are huge and could sink a battle ship because of the sheer size of the markets they’re involvd in.  We may limp through 2011, and hopefully so, […]

It’s A New World For Debtors In Bankruptcy

| November 25, 2010

A re-designed bankruptcy law was the end result of a huge successful lobbying effort by the banks back in 2005.  Congress hadn’t envisioned a surge in bankruptcies when it re-designed the bankruptcy law to make it harder for consumers to walk away from their debts. Americans are expected to file for bankruptcy-court protection this year at a […]

Hungary’s`Nightmare’ Pension-Fund Ultimatum

| November 25, 2010

From Bloomberg News By Zoltan Simon  Nov 25, 2010 Hungary is giving its citizens an ultimatum: move your private-pension fund assets to the state or lose your state pension. Economy Minister Gyorgy Matolcsy announced the policy yesterday, escalating a government drive to bring 3 trillion forint ($14.6 billion) of privately managed pension assets under state […]

China And Russia Decide To Renounce U.S. Dollar In Bilateral Trade

| November 25, 2010

www.ingerletter.com This has been ignored in the press.  So why is this a big deal?  Well, because there are more dollars outstanding abroad then in the United States, and we’re really just beginning to see this kind of dollar mischief.  But trust the world, there will be more. China, Russia Quit Dollar By Su Qiang and Li Xiaokun (China […]

The European Union Hopes To Double Bailout Fund

| November 25, 2010

Germany just said “No”  Thought this was a shoe in but…… BERLIN—The European Commission floated a proposal Wednesday to double the size of Europe’s €440 billion bailout fund for indebted euro-zone countries, but the idea was quickly dismissed by Germany, according to people familiar with the situation. The apparent disagreement between Brussels and Berlin comes […]

Median New Home Price Drops Back To Recession Lows

| November 24, 2010

The October median new home price of $194,000 was the lowest recorded by the Census Bureau since the market peak.

European Bailout…..Digging A Deep Hole With More Debt!

| November 24, 2010

It seems that the European bailout buck will stop with Portugal unless more money is added (it will be).  When Europe created the EFSF it did not think it would need to serially bail out everyone.  But now the EFSF needs more money to cover a bailout of Spain, and then what about Italy?  Inquiring minds want to know! […]

A Worried Fed Lowers U.S. Growth Forecasts

| November 23, 2010

So, the talking heads are pressing up U.S.  growth prospects while the Fed gets more worried.  Hmm…… From The Wall Street Journal Fed officials downgraded their assessment of the economy at a November meeting as they debated the benefits and costs of bond purchases, minutes showed.  Fed officials downgraded their growth projection to between 3% […]

China’s Leadership Scrambles To Contain Run Away Food Inflation!

| November 23, 2010

The Chinese haves vs. the have-nots and the Chinese rich vs. the poor ….will be at the forefront of China’s immediate problems.  This is how revolutions start. Don’t think for a second that the Chinese leadership doesn’t know or worry about this fact! This from Art Cashin On the floor of The New York Stock Exchange……. Remember Wen – Chinese Premier Wen […]

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