thestatedtruth.com | December 22, 2010
NYSE margin debt has surged to $269 billion showing an increase of $13 billion from the prior month.  This is the highest since September 2008 when NYSE margin debt was at $299 billion.  Stocks tumbled shortly there after as investors rushed to get out of margined positions. So, how does that old saying go…. Fool me once, shame on […]
thestatedtruth.com | December 22, 2010
Nationally, property taxes now dominate local tax revenues. The problem is once the local government obtains that gargantuan revenue stream as it has, it becomes the “baseline of dependency” for all future years, and that’s exactly what’s going on now!  But there is a small ray of sunshine here.  A heads up…..Homeowners in most locales can […]
thestatedtruth.com | December 21, 2010
Sounds like something Ross Perot might have said with his pointer in hand……Let’s call it Economics 101. Governments will be forced to lay off workers and cut back on services, causing social unrest as the Muni issues are addressed. “States clearly have been funding municipal governments—for now up to 40 percent of their total expenditures,” Meredith Whitney explained. “As the […]
thestatedtruth.com | December 21, 2010
This pension issue will have to be addressed front and center very soon…..Virginia stopped requiring public employee pension contributions back in 1983, but the free lunch is now OVER! It’s a snow ball going down hill, and we all know how big the snow ball is at the bottom.  Kick the can down the road, until one day the […]
thestatedtruth.com | December 21, 2010
Auh, so my calculator doesn’t go that high, come again……..In layman terms, we’re talking about a trillion dollars!
thestatedtruth.com | December 21, 2010
WikiLeaks recently said it would target a large U.S. bank.  Bank of America was the rumored victim. This has now been confirmed. Agence Press France is reporting: Julian Assange confirmed that WikiLeaks was holding a vast amount of material about Bank of America which it intends to release early next year.
thestatedtruth.com | December 21, 2010
A group of 52 business and financial luminaries have signed an open letter to U.S. Regulators (Geithner, Bernanke, et al.) on the need for national standards on mortgages. The signators are an impressive yet eclectic group. As an example, we see Nouriel Roubini; William Dunkelberg (NFIB); Bob Eisenbeis; Chris Whalen and Jim Bianco. Many of […]
thestatedtruth.com | December 21, 2010
On or around this day in 1931, America was spiraling into the depths of the Depression. Thousands of banks had closed and there was a national panic that more closings might be imminent. And large corporations announced huge layoff programs, stunning many who thought they were safe. Those who had a job were grateful just to be […]
thestatedtruth.com | December 21, 2010
Jobs, Risk, Uncertainty & Next Year: An Elaboration December 21, 2010 Bob Eisenbeis is Cumberland’s Chief Monetary Economist. Prior to joining Cumberland Advisors he was the Executive Vice President and Director of Research at the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta. Bob is presently a member of the U.S. Shadow Financial Regulatory Committee and the Financial […]
thestatedtruth.com | December 21, 2010
Great Britain….Thousands of Eurostar passengers joined giant lines and were forced to wait for up to seven hours today as the Channel Tunnel rail link was thrown into disarray. Police were forced to turn away some passengers after the freezing weather conditions ruined journeys at London’s St Pancras station as speed restrictions and cancellations affected the […]
thestatedtruth.com | December 20, 2010
The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) is a number issued daily by the London-based Baltic Exchange. It tracks worldwide international shipping prices of various dry bulk cargoes and provides “an assessment of the price of moving major raw materials by sea through 26 shipping routes measured on a timecharter and voyage basis”. So now you know!
thestatedtruth.com | December 20, 2010
Stay tuned…..This will be a big story, maybe as soon as tomorrow. A heads up, last Friday Bank of America blocked all of Wikileaks payments. So… Is that a hint of a nervous banker? According to an advance preview of an interview with Julian Assange by the Times of London’s Alexi Mostrous, the Wikileaks founder has announced […]
thestatedtruth.com | December 20, 2010
$2 Trillion Debt Crisis Threatens To Bring Down 100+ U.S. Cities Way to go Meredith Whitney…..Logic says the states will be doing huge (really huge) cut backs and layoffs…..So inquiring minds want to know how the economy can grow in these circumstances. To all of the economists out there, it sounds like Meredith is one of the few that gets it! […]
thestatedtruth.com | December 20, 2010
Isn’t it a little late for the ECU to be threatening about things here, the horse is already out of the barn! Does the ECU have an alternate plan or set of options here….Nope, that’s just what we thought, none! The European Central Bank warned Ireland that proposed legislation revamping the country’s financial system could threaten some of the ECB’s […]
thestatedtruth.com | December 19, 2010
Oh please, they got to be kidding? What are they protesting? Did anyone protest when they made money in the stock market. NO! After the stock market plunged on Sunday by 552 points or 6.72%, angry investors took to the streets, “threw bricks at police, marched in the streets shouting slogans, and staged a sit-down protest.”  “The […]
thestatedtruth.com | December 19, 2010
The highest ownership rate of all time was 69.2% around 2005-2006, the low going back to 1965 is 62.9%, and we are currently at 66.9%. The bottom line: It looks like we have a ways to go on the down side!
thestatedtruth.com | December 19, 2010
This chart pretty much sums things up……a trading range looks like the most likely scenario at best. If not, well…..everyone probably knows what the alternative would look like. Hint, the word starts with a D as in Down.
thestatedtruth.com | December 19, 2010
Some interesting changes were made on December 16’th concerning Credit Unions!  Stay Tuned! As of the end of  November, 372 federally insured credit unions with assets of $43.4 billion were designated as CAMEL code 4 or 5. In addition, there were 1,792 CAMEL 3 credit unions with assets of $158.2. Overall, 22.3 percent of all credit union assets are […]
thestatedtruth.com | December 19, 2010
Well, the receipts (aqua color) aren’t looking so good, but the outlays (red color) are rolling to the upside. Just the opposite of what should be happening. www.zerohedge.com Â
thestatedtruth.com | December 19, 2010
Austerity anyone? This will be political suicide for the Democrats, plain and simple. “The tax deal negotiated by President Barack Obama and Senate Republican leader Mitch McConnell of Kentucky is just the first part of a multistage drama.” Next up on the path of what many see as the terminal alienation of the president from […]
thestatedtruth.com | December 17, 2010
Real average earnings have not increased in 50 years…..So the next question is how do people make ends meet? We don’t know, that’s why we ask the question!  Were we better off in 1972 vs. 2010? Maybe so….  Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/15-charts-about-wealth-and-inequality-in-america-2010-4#real-average-earnings-have-not-increased-in-50-years-6#ixzz18Q3QqKn9
thestatedtruth.com | December 17, 2010
The gap between the top 1% and everyone else hasn’t been this wide since the Roaring Twenties……  http://www.businessinsider.com/15-charts-about-wealth-and-inequality-in-america-2010-4#the-gap-between-the-top-1-and-everyone-else-hasnt-been-this-bad-since-the-roaring-twenties-1
thestatedtruth.com | December 17, 2010
Tax rates are declining for everyone… But especially the top 1% . We would expect things to be pretty much the same in 2010 as they were in 2007. From: http://www.businessinsider.com/20-more-tax-facts-that-will-make-your-head-explode-2010-4#tax-rates-are-declining-for-everyone-especially-the-top-1-19
thestatedtruth.com | December 17, 2010
McDonald’s is the world’s largest distributor of toys, with one included in 20% of all its sales.  Each week nearly one-third of the U.S. population visits Walmart’s U.S. stores.  Last year Walmart sold more bananas than any other item.  Walmart is the largest overall employer in the USA.  Pages in the tax […]
thestatedtruth.com | December 17, 2010
Liar Liar Pants On Fire! The chart below is total consumer credit outstanding. Interestingly, when we looked at it, somehow it showed an uptick. That seemed odd and didn’t square with the credit card data. Low and behold…… they (the government) now count student loans as consumer credit, whereas they did not in the past. Geez, so federally supported credit (ie. student-backed […]
thestatedtruth.com | December 17, 2010
Debit cards are the new growth area…..”The lowest percentage of shoppers in the 27-year-history of a national survey said they used credit cards over the Thanksgiving weekend, while the use of general credit cards like Visa and MasterCard fell 11 percent in the third quarter from a year earlier, according to the credit bureau TransUnion. “Britt […]
thestatedtruth.com | December 17, 2010
The extension for unemployment benefits that is part of the compromise tax deal is good news for many of the unemployed, but it won’t provide aid to anyone who’s been out of a job over 99 weeks. The extension worked out by President Barack Obama and congressional Republicans only lets unemployed workers continue to draw […]
thestatedtruth.com | December 16, 2010
The U.S. Congress passed an $858 billion bill extending for two years all Bush-era tax cuts, and now the measure goes to President Barack Obama for his signature. Majorities of both parties supported the bill. Voting in favor were 139 Democrats and 138 Republicans, while 112 Democrats and 36 Republicans voted against it. Eight lawmakers didn’t vote. The […]
thestatedtruth.com | December 16, 2010
Neal Soss at Credit Suisse: We have rising prices in gasoline and food. That is worldwide. It is also the warning sign of the worst-case “nightmare scenario.â€Â It as an “eruption of headline inflation (food and gasoline) with no accompanying pick-up in wages or real growth.â€Â David R. Kotok of Cumberland Advisors: Through the December […]
thestatedtruth.com | December 16, 2010
thestatedtruth.com | December 16, 2010
The most recent look at the 30 Year Cash Fannie Mortgage showed a rise by 11 bps overnight, and by a stunning 1% in the last month. At 4.703% the prevailing wholesale mortgage rate is back to the highest it has been since May 2010. And while some have speculated that this inflection in rates would have […]
thestatedtruth.com | December 15, 2010
This chart sure goes back a long ways in time!  1792-Present!  Geez
thestatedtruth.com | December 15, 2010
ICI has just released money flows…..and we have the 32nd consecutive outflow from domestic equity mutual funds. Total outflows for the year to date are $96 billion.   We also saw for the first time in a while, an outflow of $401 million in taxable bond funds  (and $1.3 billion in outflows from muni bonds). And here is the cumulative flows chart:
thestatedtruth.com | December 15, 2010
Wow! We’re not sure just where the President is going with this……. The Hill reports that the president has been telling members of Congress that failure to pass the tax-cut legislation could result in the end of his presidency. This begs the question: How does one view this….Reuters reports 2010 may be the second highest bonus payout season […]
thestatedtruth.com | December 15, 2010
The U.S. Senate on Wednesday officially approved an $858 billion bill extending the Bush-era tax cuts for two years in an 81-19 vote. Next up the House vote…..huff and puff maybe as soon as Thursday. The new legislation would extend Bush-era tax cuts for an additional two years for people of all income levels. It would cut […]
thestatedtruth.com | December 15, 2010
Protesters: Â “We want the government to take back the latest labor law that will hurt workers’ rights.”….Not a chance, didn’t they hear that Greece is broke. ATHENS, Greece (AP) — Protesters clashed with riot police across Athens on Wednesday, torching cars, hurling gasoline bombs and sending Christmas shoppers fleeing in panic during a general strike […]
thestatedtruth.com | December 13, 2010
This added interest expense should bust state and local budgets for next year. So what’s a borrower to do? Well to start…cut backs are in order across the board and that’s official! Investors are demanding higher interest payments on municipal bonds in a race for year-end issuance.  Yields are pushing highest rates since 2009 while the Build America Bonds program appeared […]
thestatedtruth.com | December 13, 2010
Goldman Sachs Predicts Best Commodity Returns for 2011 will be in Precious Metals….. The raw materials most affected for 2011 will be those with the tightest supply, including crude oil, copper, cotton, soybeans and platinum….and we think you might want to add wheat, corn and rice to that list! By Maria Kolesnikova – Dec 13, 2010 Precious metals will […]
thestatedtruth.com | December 12, 2010
As this chart from Calculated Risk shows we’re about 99 weeks since the very worst of the job losses from late-2008/early-2009. The extent to which their cutoff effects the consumer recovery (and thus everything else) is something to consider. Read more: www.businessinsider.com
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