thestatedtruth.com | October 1, 2010
By ALAN ZIBEL October 1, 2010 WASHINGTON -Â Bank of America is delaying foreclosures in 23 states as it examines whether it rushed the foreclosure process for thousands of homeowners without reading the documents. The move adds the nation’s largest bank to a growing list of mortgage companies whose employees signed documents in foreclosure cases […]
thestatedtruth.com | September 28, 2010
The Conference Board’s sentiment index declined to 48.5 this month, lower than the median forecast of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News and the weakest level since February, according to figures from the New York-based private research group today. In another report home prices cooled, hurt by a slump in sales following the end of a […]
thestatedtruth.com | September 27, 2010
It looks like we could have saved the U.S. tax payers a few trillion dollars if the government would have realized the basics of the problems a year and a half ago! New World Thinking: The government can save everything. Reality: The government can’t save anything but will try, in the process it will usually make things worse!  Paul Krugman […]
thestatedtruth.com | September 26, 2010
Thoughts from the Frontline Weekly Newsletter  Pushing on a String   by John Mauldin September 24, 2010 In this issue: Pushing on a String Let’s Shift the Focus An Invitation to an Inflation Party Ten Years and Counting This week the Fed altered their end-of-meeting statement by just a few words, but those words have […]
thestatedtruth.com | September 24, 2010
Two years after the financial crisis, the federal government has stepped in to stabilize a crucial part of the credit-union sector knocked down by losses on subprime mortgages. A summary of an article from the Wall Street Journal is reviewed below. Regulators announced Friday a rescue of the nation’s wholesale credit unions, underpinned by a federal guarantee valued at $30 billion […]
thestatedtruth.com | September 23, 2010
According to David Rosenberg of Gluskin Sheff: Wages & salaries are still down 3.7% from the prior peak; Corporate profits are still down 20% from the peak; Real GDP is still down 1.3% from the peak; Industrial production is still down 7.2% from the peak; Employment is still down 5.5% from the peak; Retail sales […]
thestatedtruth.com | September 22, 2010
Next up….Currency evolved hyper inflation caused by the Fed’s actions to save the world, as the dollar becomes worth much less and commodities without debt attached go vertical (such as food, gold, silver, farm land etc.).  The only real question seems to be when, not if.  In the U.S. we are trying to work through the legacy of accumulating lots […]
thestatedtruth.com | September 21, 2010
From Art Cashin on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange………. China– Getting solid data out of China is never an easy task. The problem raises constant questioning of the validity of any data. That having been said, there are stunning numbers circulating on the real estate situation in China. There are said to […]
thestatedtruth.com | September 20, 2010
“An incredible 14% of the nearly 54 million first liens in the country are now either delinquent or in default” the Real Estate Channel’s Keith Jurow, observes. “To come up with a total for the shadow inventory, let’s first add the total number of loans in default to those delinquent 90 days or more since […]
thestatedtruth.com | September 20, 2010
According to calculations from the Federal Reserve, household wealth tumbled a whopping $17 trillion during the crisis – or about 27%. Since the depths of the crisis, however, Americans have recovered about $5 trillion of household wealth. Only $12 trillion to go! For perspective, $12 trillion is nearly equal to one year’s US GDP. It’s […]
thestatedtruth.com | September 18, 2010
By Gary Shilling Consumers Go On Strike It wasn’t until late 2008 that we had the collapse in home equity as house prices nosedived (Chart 2), rising layoffs (Chart 3) and the drying up of consumer lending drove consumers into retrenchment. But they suddenly went on a buyers strike in the last four months of 2008, […]
thestatedtruth.com | September 16, 2010
U.S. home seizures reached a record for the third time in five months in August as lenders completed the foreclosure process for thousands of delinquent owners, according to RealtyTrac Inc. Bank repossessions climbed 25 percent from a year earlier to 95,364, the most since the Irvine, California-based data provider began keeping records. “We’re on track […]
thestatedtruth.com | September 15, 2010
Bloomberg     09-15-2010 The slide in U.S. home prices may have another three years to go as sellers add as many as 12 million more properties to the market. Shadow inventory — the supply of homes in default or foreclosure that may be offered for sale — is preventing prices from bottoming after a 28 percent […]
thestatedtruth.com | September 13, 2010
So what will bolt from the gate fastest Stocks, Bonds or could Gold and Silver lead the way? The New York Fed has just disclosed it will buy $27 billion in Treasurys between mid-Sept and mid-October. Using the Basel III blessed 30x leverage, this money, once it makes its way to the Primary Dealers, should be […]
thestatedtruth.com | September 11, 2010
If not for record low interest rates, the Debt Service Ratio chart below would look a lot different! The consumer, and why the expectation (and reality) of deflation will keep U.S. buyers subdued, and continue to make the US economy ever more reliant on the government’s transfer payment, aka welfare, program. A very simple illustration of the […]
thestatedtruth.com | September 11, 2010
FDIC’s Bair Warns of Government “Exposure” in Mortgages WASHINGTON (Reuters) – A key U.S. banking regulator raised concern on Wednesday about the risk of “exposure” the government is taking on in the mortgage market and urged more stringent standards for underwriting mortgages. “We should all be concerned about the type of exposure that the government […]
thestatedtruth.com | September 10, 2010
 More: http://www.moneytalks.net/images/stories/August_26/Psychological-Stages-of-a-RE-Bubble-Market1.png
thestatedtruth.com | September 10, 2010
Interesting fact…..stock market REIT ‘s (Real Estate Investment Trusts) are trading at near record highs. Of the $3.1 billion new delinquencies in August, $1.1 billion (36%) corresponded to hotel-backed loans, pushing the hotel-specific delinquency rate past 20%. Current delinquency rates by property type are as follows: –Hotel: 20.80% (from 18.64%) –Multifamily: 14.18% (from 13.87%) –Retail: […]
thestatedtruth.com | September 8, 2010
After two months of moderated growth in delinquent loans backing commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS), the delinquency rate in August increased 21 basis points to 8.92%, according to the analytics firm Trepp. It’s an increase from the 8.71% measured in July and another new record. The August delinquency rate is more than double the 4.03% rate […]
thestatedtruth.com | September 8, 2010
The Federal Reserve said the U.S. economy maintained its expansion while showing “widespread signs of a deceleration†in mid-July through the end of August, according to a survey by 12 regional Fed banks. The New York Fed reported “signs of decelerating†in the district, including “further deceleration†in manufacturing. The Philadelphia region said business conditions […]
thestatedtruth.com | September 4, 2010
A must listen to interview with Jim Rickards about our economy and more.  We all need to be aware of the direction of things to come.   This interview from Jim Rickards will help in understanding these things better.  Click on the following link or paste into your browser:   http://www.kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/Broadcast/Entries/2010/9/4_Jim_Rickards.html  Biography of James G. Rickards…..James G. Rickards is […]
thestatedtruth.com | September 1, 2010
This looks like the worst sales performance since the early 1980’s………If autos looked this bad then one would asume that housing should fare no better as consumers still have too much debt…..Here is a quote from Toyota, “We are bracing ourselves for the coming crisis.”.   Toyota Motor Corp., General Motors Co. and Ford Motor Co., […]
thestatedtruth.com | August 29, 2010
By Todd Harrison of Minyanville Seeking Solutions In An Uncertain World We used to play for silver, now we play for life; ones for sport and one’s for blood at the point of a knife. –Grateful Dead We live in interesting times. During the last two years, a financial virus spawned and infected the economic […]
thestatedtruth.com | August 27, 2010
08/27/2010 The WSJ’s Simon Constable interviews Robert Shiller.  He says that an economic double dip may be “imminent.”  Shiller also believes that when the NBER looks back at the data, Q3 of this year will mark the beginning of the second dip of the recession. Ironically, since up to now the previous recession has never actually […]
thestatedtruth.com | August 26, 2010
Modest is putting it bluntly…..There was some modestly encouraging news. The percentage of mortgage borrowers receiving foreclosure notices fell slightly to 4.57 percent in the April-to-June quarter.  Government efforts haven’t made much of a difference. Nearly half of the 1.3 million homeowners who have enrolled in the Obama administration’s main mortgage-relief program have been cut loose […]
thestatedtruth.com | August 26, 2010
The Canary in the coal mine.    Sounds like a bad situation is setting itself up here…… We went over some of this just a few days ago……It’s an unfolding disaster…. Illinois Teachers’ Retirement System, Springfield, plans to sell $3 billion in investments, or about 10% of its $33.1 billion in assets in the current fiscal year […]
thestatedtruth.com | August 26, 2010
Hmm…..Two months in a row, right in the middle of the traditional best seasonal time of the year for real estate….not one new home was sold valued above $750,000 in the whole U.S. according to David Rosenberg (he worked for Merrill Lynch and now resides in Canada as chief economist and strategist at Gluskin Sheff). …..Attitudes towards […]
thestatedtruth.com | August 26, 2010
In a bid to stem taxpayer losses for bad loans guaranteed by federal housing agencies Fanny Mae and Freddy Mac, Senator Bob Corker (R-Tenn) proposed that borrowers be required to make a 5% down payment in order to qualify. His proposal was rejected 57-42 on a party-line vote because, …………Senator Chris Dodd (D-Conn) explained, “passage […]
thestatedtruth.com | August 25, 2010
An economic recovery doesn’t look anything like this: www.dailyreckoning.com
thestatedtruth.com | August 24, 2010
Existing home sales fell to their lowest level in over 15 years in July as inventories soared.   It portrays a grim picture for the housing market absent government support. Home resales dropped a record 27.2% or nearly twice as much as analysts had expected to an annual rate of 3.83 million in July, according to the National Association of […]
thestatedtruth.com | August 23, 2010
By Todd Harrison of Minyanville Seeking Solutions In An Uncertain World We used to play for silver, now we play for life; ones for sport and one’s for blood at the point of a knife. –Grateful Dead We live in interesting times. During the last two years, a financial virus spawned and infected the economic […]
thestatedtruth.com | August 23, 2010
Let’s keep this in mind…..Quoting PIMCO’s Bill Gross on real estate mortgages, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac….”To suggest the private market can come back in and take the place [of the government] is simply impractical. It won’t work”. Sources say the Obama administration is floating the idea  that any federal backing of mortgages be paid for […]
thestatedtruth.com | August 22, 2010
The Phillie Fed report was just awful. Buried in the details was the fact that the hours-worked index is collapsing, consistent with previews to past recessions. Very worrisome. (From my favorite slicer and dicer of data, Greg Weldon: www.weldononline.com) Bottom line? It is going to be a tough environment for the next 6-8 years. That […]
thestatedtruth.com | August 20, 2010
HAMP stands for Home Affordable Modification Plan…… The key here is that these borrowers are still up to their eyeballs in debt after the modification. From Treasury: HAMP Servicer Performance Report Through July 2010 According to HAMP, there are 255,934 “active trials”, down from 364,077 last month. There is still a large number of borrowers in limbo […]
thestatedtruth.com | August 20, 2010
  Aug 20, 2010   PIMCO’s Bill Gross Has A Big Idea…..Actually JP Morgan might have started these thoughts.  Question: Is It Fair To Save The Irresponsible At The Expense Of The Prudent And Conservative?  Where is the bonus for being fiscally responsible?  Auh, there is none unless your in financial trouble! At Tuesday’s […]
thestatedtruth.com | August 19, 2010
 U.S. commercia real estate mall prices fall almost 11% in second quarter.          Question……To whom would one sell commercial property to if forced in this environment?   The red ink is going to be massive. The plunge is on.  Let’s hope the powers to be never require this stuff to be marked to market by the small banks or pension funds […]
thestatedtruth.com | August 18, 2010
When pondering new stimulus and home ownership plans that are subsidized entirely on the backs of the population or future generations, consider this prescient quotable: “The American Republic will endure, until politicians realize they can bribe the people with their own money.” — Alexis de Tocqueville (1800’s French historican)– www.ingerletter.com
thestatedtruth.com | August 18, 2010
By David Mildenberg and Jody Shenn Aug 18, 2010 Bank of America and JPMorgan Chase & Co. are among 11 lenders that could suffer $133.8 billion in combined losses as mortgage-bond investors and insurers demand refunds for soured loans, according to an analysis by Compass Point Research and Trading LLC. That’s the base estimate by analyst […]
thestatedtruth.com | August 17, 2010
From Zerohedge.com    08/17/2010 The one must watch interview of the week (if not of the year) features Hayman Capital’s Kyle Bass. Bass, who correctly called the subprime implosion (and profited handsomely from it) as a iconoclast contrarian to conventional wisdom, tells David Faber that “given my outlook on the world, I don’t know how I […]
thestatedtruth.com | August 17, 2010
Big changes coming to the housing market. One thing you can be assured of, this will end badly, it always does when the government gets heavily involved. “To suggest that there’s a large place for private financing in the future of housing finance is unrealistic,â€Â  “Government is part of our future. We need a government balance […]
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