NHK Reports Fukushima Reactor 1 Is Melting Down

| May 12, 2011

Tick Tac Toe, three in a row……NHK Reports Fukushima Reactor 1 Is Melting Down.. Haven’t the cores of reactors 2 and 3 already melted down?  Uh, we think so……. Following up on earlier reports that the fuel rods in reactor 1 were truly exposed, NHK now reports another speculation from long ago, finally confirmed by official […]

Eric Sprott Says Gold Is Now The World’s Reserve Currency, Says Silver Was Manipulated Lower

| May 12, 2011

Eric Sprott of Sprott Asset Management….. making headlines at SALT (Sky Bridge Alternatives  Conference) in Vegas: SPROTT SAYS GOLD IS NOW THE WORLD’S RESERVE CURRENCY SPROTT SAYS SILVER WAS `MANIPULATED’ DOWN IN PRICE SPROTT SAYS PEOPLE IN IRELAND, GREECE ALREADY FLEEING BANKS SPROTT SAYS SAVERS WILL FLEE BANKS TO PUT MONEY INTO GOLD

Here Are Some Tid Bits Out Of The SALT (Sky Bridge Alternatives Conference) In Las Vegas

| May 12, 2011

Among other things, Dinan says……“The lessons of ‘07 and ‘08 are totally forgotten,” Dinan warned. “The thinking that ‘I won’t be left behind when the music stops.’ That’s very dangerous thinking.”   Jamie Dinan, York Capital: Banks Jamie Dinan, founder of $17 billion hedge fund York Capital Management LP, talks about financial stocks. “The amount of […]

Falling Gas Demand

| May 12, 2011

Guess it’s starting to matter how much it costs to fill up all those old SUV’s still on the road……………….. U.S. demand for gasoline fell by the largest amount in seven weeks — a signal that consumers are conserving money as gas prices near a national average of $4 a gallon.

Stock Market Trouble Dead Ahead……

| May 10, 2011

We’re seeing the warning signs now…. www.ingerletter.com

A Look At The Governments U-6 Unemployment Rate

| May 10, 2011

So…..the U.S. has gone trillions, yes trillions of dollars in debt for what?  Uh….an economic recovery that has only matched inflation (yes we know, the government says there is no inflation), or let’s just call it an economy that has gone virtually nowhere.  And the only way to get more growth at this point is to add […]

The American “Zombie Consumer” Generation

| May 9, 2011

The U.S. is in the midst of a “zombie consumer” generation that will dent GDP growth for years to come, according to Citi and Yale’s Stephen Roach (via The Globe and Mail).   And who is responsible for leading the sheep down this road, yep……good old uncle sam! Speaking in Toronto, Roach said that the […]

The FCC Says The United States Is Looking At A Spectrum Shortage By 2013!

| May 9, 2011

Interesting subject matter….exploding demand from smartphones will soon overwhelm the nation’s wireless capacity.  So, what’s the FCC’s plan to fix this imminent spectrum wipe out?   Something called “Incentive Auctions,” which lets the owners of old, under-used spectrum–TV and radio broadcast spectrum, for example–put the spectrum up for auction and get a portion of the proceeds. This […]

Zillow Says 27 Percent Of U.S. Homeowners Now Have Negative Equity On Home, An All Time Record!

| May 9, 2011

Highlights from a new report from Zillow on real estate…………….The number of homes with negative equity rose to 27% or 16.2 million units in the first quarter from 13.1 million units a year earlier.  In the first quarter of 2009 only 22% of homes were underwater, Zillow said.  Home prices slumped 8.2 percent on average over the past 12 months. Property […]

Top 10 Cities For Job Seekers In 2011

| May 6, 2011

The nation’s capital continues to head a list of the top cities for finding work. The rankings are based on the latest job market competition ratings from www.Indeed.com. The ratings compare the number of people looking for work with the number of advertised positions in a given area. Here are the 10 cities with the […]

Obama Administration Floats Draft Plan To Tax Cars By The Mile

| May 5, 2011

This from The Hill……If it isn’t a plan, then why float it!  Among other things, CBO suggested that a vehicle miles traveled (VMT) tax could be tracked by installing electronic equipment on each car to determine how many miles were driven; payment could take place electronically at filling stations. The Obama administration has floated a transportation […]

Houses May Be Down For 10 Or Maybe Even 15 Years…Here Is Why

| May 4, 2011

This long down period makes sense….everybody is hoping for the best, but demographics and many other things point to a very negative period ahead for real estate. Can Americans cope with a 10 to 15 year bear market in real estate?  On this front there is good news, and bad news.  The bad news is that we are likely […]

Food Stamp Recipients Hit 44.2 Million, A New Record

| May 2, 2011

The SNAP released the most recent food stamp numbers. Not surprisingly, we have another all time high of 44.2 million poverty-level Americans relying on government funding for day to day sustenance.  So you ask: When will this end?   Hmm…we wonder about that too!

Osama bin Laden Killed By CIA Special Forces In Pakistan

| May 1, 2011

The most wanted and hunted person in United States history gets his just reward…….Osama, may you rot in HELL!  The United States message is you can run but you can’t hide.  President Obama confirmed Osama bin Laden was killed by CIA Special Forces, with a short address to the nation and ended with this quote “ God Bless America”. […]

Retirement Income? A Tough Place To Be In A Low Interest Rate Envirenment

| April 30, 2011

From The Wall Street Journal….Retirement annuities, may not be such a good idea after all, especially now.  Read on! Turmoil in the stock market. Paltry interest rates at the bank. What are the newly retired to do? Many are taking a look at buying a fixed annuity instead.  These products let you swap a lump […]

The Real World We Live In….

| April 28, 2011

Reality check for the government talking heads……are things really as good as they think.  From Reuters: An April 20-23 Gallup survey of 1,013 U.S. adults found that only 27 percent said the economy is growing. 29 percent said the economy is in a depression and 26 percent said it is in a recession, with another […]

McDonalds Has Over One Million Applicants For Minimum Wage Part-Time Jobs

| April 28, 2011

What’s wrong with this picture….McDonalds has one million new job applications which is two and a half times more applications then it has total workers employed by its company owned stores!  Geez….  Bloomberg: McDonald’s and its franchisees hired 62,000 people in the U.S. after receiving more than one million applications, the Oak Brook, Illinois-based company said today […]

One Million (Probably More) Exhaust Jobless Benefits

| April 28, 2011

Nothing to worry about for now…as long as all these recently subsidy-free individuals aren’t paying their mortgage and the banks aren’t enforcing payment….all is well, sort of…. but eventually that roof will go away!  It’s probably worse, that’s because the government has so many seasonal adjustments now days that it tends to make things seem better then they really […]

Wal Mart CEO: “Shoppers Are Running Out Of Money”…. There Is “No Sign Of A Recovery”

| April 28, 2011

A sign of the (hard) times……..despite what the government portends! The head of Wal-Mart’s U.S. operations warned Wednesday talking to USA Today….”Wal-Mart’s core shoppers are running out of money much faster than a year ago due to rising gasoline prices, and the retail giant is worried. “We’re seeing core consumers under a lot of pressure,” […]

Q1 GDP Prints At 1.8% Misses Consensus OF 2.0%, Falls Sharply From 3.1% In Q4, Initial Claims Surge

| April 28, 2011

The U.S. economy grew at a slower pace than forecast, surprising many in the first quarter as government spending declined by the most since 1983.  Gross National Product prints 1.8% down from consensus of 2.0% which had multiple negative revisions. Economists were unanimous by a record amount, in a poll….. that things were going to be dynamically better and […]

Interesting Tid Bit

| April 27, 2011

For the first time since the Great Depression, households are receiving more income from the government than they are paying the government in taxes. The combination of more cash from various programs, called transfer payments, and lower taxes has been a double-barreled boost to consumers’ buying power, while also blowing a hole in the deficit. […]

Are We Going To Have A “Restructuring Credit Event” Here!

| April 26, 2011

Rather important to say the least, because what happens here may spread like wild fire across the European continent……another fuse looking for a match! In London on Tuesday, UBS’s City office asked the decisions committee of the International Swaps & Derivatives Association to say whether the Irish government’s new Credit Institutions Act signals a “restructuring […]

Deutsche Bank Ranks U.S. Sovereign Risk

| April 26, 2011

Deutsche Bank ranks the U.S. government as the world’s fourth riskiest sovereign borrower, behind Greece, Ireland and Portugal, and just ahead of Italy.

More Basic Math 101

| April 25, 2011

Low interest rates are here forever….or it’s game over!  Realistically speaking, we all know interest rates can’t stay low forever, so…..it’s just a matter of time. With ultra low interest rates, the U.S. interest expense is $440 billion this year or 3% of GDP. If government borrowing rates were to rise a mere 2%, interest expense […]

Math 101

| April 25, 2011

If one was running a corporation….the blue line should be above the red line.  Basic math 101. Average tax receipts over the last half century are about 17% of GDP and spending about 20%. Any reasonable plan would attempt to return to those norms. The partisan budget approach focuses on central themes. From the political […]

The Wealth Effect For The Rich Vs. Negative Wealth Effect For Everyone Else!

| April 25, 2011

“The Wealth Effect” — combined with low taxes on capital has concentrated American wealth into the hands of the richest 1%. Seven percent of income flows to the top 0.1 %. Meanwhile, tax receipts in general are the lowest as a percentage of GDP in a half century.

Poverty And Distress Rolls Down The Highway

| April 25, 2011

American poverty and distress, such as food stamp recipients are headed for an all time high!  

Real Estate Heads Into Deeper Waters

| April 24, 2011

From this weeks Barron’s……………Mark Hanson points out, banks and servicers are back with a vengeance and cutting asking prices sharply “to blow out distressed inventory.” Other price depressants he cites include unfavorable demographics, soaring energy costs and a broken mortgage market. The chart below is from Yale economist Robert Shiller, and it plots an index (called […]

Jim Sinclair…Gold Is Locked And Loaded For $1,650 And Higher

| April 24, 2011

We’ll say it again….Jim Sinclair is probably the best Gold trader ever! Jim Sinclair’s Commentary Consider for a moment what things would have looked like if QE did not exist in the US as well as other major Western financial systems. What would this so called recovery look like? Now think how things will look […]

Cumberland Advisors…. FDIC & Fed: More Questions Than Answers

| April 24, 2011

David Kotak out with his latest opinion of how things are….normally David has more answers then questions!  Hmm….. Cumberland Advisors FDIC & Fed: more questions than answers April 23, 2011 We thank readers for their kind words about Scylla and Charybdis (www.cumber.com).  We also thank friends Dennis Gartman, John Mauldin and Barry Ritholtz for sharing the […]

Jim Grant Explains Why QE3 Is Coming

| April 21, 2011

Jim Grant ranks in the top tear of analysts covering interest rates…..right at the top of the list with Bill Gross, the founder of PIMCO (the worlds largest bond manager). From his latest Grant’s Interest Rate Observer: “Almost 30% of the respondents to a poll conducted by UBS a few weeks back said they anticipate a […]

Business Current And Future General Activity Indexes Surprise Eonomists…Head South

| April 21, 2011

Trouble dead ahead….remember, we’re (supposedly) in an economic recovery? www.ingerletter.com

S&P Cuts Ratings To Negative For Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, The Federal Home Loan And Farm Credit

| April 20, 2011

This just in from S&P, which does a follow up to its earlier U.S. outlook warning, and revises its GSE and FHLB outlook to negative.  Let’s remember that this is happening in an economic (supposed) recovery. NEW YORK (Standard & Poor’s) April 20, 2011–Standard & Poor’s Ratings  Services said today that it revised its outlooks on […]

Jim Sinclair Interview Covering The World Economy And Gold

| April 20, 2011

An excellent review of the world economic picture and the future of Gold By Ron Hera April 15, 2011 ©2011 Hera Research, LLC The Hera Research Newsletter (HRN) is pleased to present an in-depth interview with Jim Sinclair, Chairman and CEO of Tanzanian Royalty Exploration and founder of Jim Sinclair’s MineSet, which hosts his gold commentary […]

NYSE Margin Debt Surges, Net Speculator Leverage Second Highest Ever

| April 19, 2011

This is the second highest net leverage ever seen on on the NYSE,  and only a freckle away from a new record….Words to the wise, be prepared is not just a boy scout motto. The NYSE has released its monthly margin debt update for March. Not surprisingly, with EVERYONE chasing nothing but levered beta, margin […]

Stratfor: China And The End Of The Deng Dynasty

| April 19, 2011

  China and the End of the Deng Dynasty By Jennifer Richmond and Matthew Gertken | April 19, 2011 Beijing has become noticeably more anxious than usual in recent months, launching one of the more high-profile security campaigns to suppress political dissent since the aftermath of Tiananmen Square crackdown in 1989. Journalists, bloggers, artists, Christians […]

S&P Cuts U.S. Ratings Outlook to Negative

| April 18, 2011

History shows it’s all forgotten by the next day……maybe this time will be different! A stark warning from S&P about the U.S. government’s fiscal problems stoked concern on Wall Street and in Washington on Monday,  intensifying political divisions concerning the growing deficits. House of Representatives Republican leader Eric Cantor on Monday called the Standard & Poor’s downgrade […]

A Gold Tipping Point….We’ll Know Soon Enough! Gold Is An Under Owned Investment….

| April 17, 2011

Hmm….The University of  Texas whose $19.9 billion in assets ranked it second only behind Harvard University’s endowment as of August, added about $500 million in gold investments to an existing stake last year, and took delivery of almost $1 billion in gold bullion….”storing the bars in a New York vault, according to the fund’s board.” said Bruce Zimmerman, […]

E*Trade Baby…..I Want My Mommy, I Just Blew My Wadd!

| April 15, 2011

Yep, Let this be a lesson to you….cry baby! www.zerohedge.com

Harsh Words Out Of The White House

| April 15, 2011

President Obama has interesting but harsh words out of the White House…..Let’s look at his record,  looks like the old saying, do as I say, not as I do! “Failure by Congress to raise the U.S. debt limit “could plunge the world economy back into recession,” President Barack Obama declared Friday, and he acknowledged that he […]

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