thestatedtruth.com | September 26, 2010
Let’s be careful what we wish for here, as this sets up a dangerous precedent of a new type of worldwide cyber warfare in the future.  TEHRAN, Iran—A complex computer worm capable of seizing control of industrial plants has affected the personal computers of staff working at Iran’s first nuclear-power station weeks before the facility is to […]
thestatedtruth.com | September 26, 2010
Thoughts from the Frontline Weekly Newsletter  Pushing on a String   by John Mauldin September 24, 2010 In this issue: Pushing on a String Let’s Shift the Focus An Invitation to an Inflation Party Ten Years and Counting This week the Fed altered their end-of-meeting statement by just a few words, but those words have […]
thestatedtruth.com | September 24, 2010
Two years after the financial crisis, the federal government has stepped in to stabilize a crucial part of the credit-union sector knocked down by losses on subprime mortgages. A summary of an article from the Wall Street Journal is reviewed below. Regulators announced Friday a rescue of the nation’s wholesale credit unions, underpinned by a federal guarantee valued at $30 billion […]
thestatedtruth.com | September 23, 2010
Sorry, But The Answer Of Too Much Debt Is Not More Debt In Price Is Knowledge If you told Rip van Bondtrader that gold had risen to a record during his decade-long slumber, he’d want to know what the inflation outlook was, and how badly he’d gotten killed on his bond investments. He’d be astonished to […]
thestatedtruth.com | September 23, 2010
This May Be Just The Begining As The Entire World Slows! It’s A Process…..And It Will Likely Take Time To Totally Unfold.  U.S. Jobless Claims Jump The number of U.S. workers filing new claims for jobless benefits unexpectedly rose by 12,000 to 465,000 last week, as labor weakness persists. Ireland GDP Drops Unexpectedly Ireland had a surprise decline in its second-quarter […]
thestatedtruth.com | September 22, 2010
The stock market is now virtually unchanged in 2010, even as almost $80 billion in equity-capital has been withdrawn.  So here is the question: How is this possible? Well….it’s a deep subject and we don’t know! 20’th Consecutive Week Of Outflows Beginning on May 5, there have been 20 consecutive outflows from domestic mutual equity funds. […]
thestatedtruth.com | September 22, 2010
Next up….Currency evolved hyper inflation caused by the Fed’s actions to save the world, as the dollar becomes worth much less and commodities without debt attached go vertical (such as food, gold, silver, farm land etc.).  The only real question seems to be when, not if.  In the U.S. we are trying to work through the legacy of accumulating lots […]
thestatedtruth.com | September 20, 2010
“An incredible 14% of the nearly 54 million first liens in the country are now either delinquent or in default” the Real Estate Channel’s Keith Jurow, observes. “To come up with a total for the shadow inventory, let’s first add the total number of loans in default to those delinquent 90 days or more since […]
thestatedtruth.com | September 18, 2010
The End of Social Security As We Know It By Ian Mathias Baltimore, Maryland On September 30, America will quietly begin a generational shift. This will be the final day of the government’s fiscal year 2010, and consequentially, a very notable day for Social Security. September 30 will be the last day – maybe for […]
thestatedtruth.com | September 18, 2010
Gary Shilling In terms of spending and saving, note that whatever has been going on in the consumer arena has been supported by massive federal stimuli. Those stimuli may persist at near current levels in future years due to chronic high unemployment, as noted in earlier Insights, but seems unlikely to rise at the rates […]
thestatedtruth.com | September 18, 2010
By Gary Shilling Consumers Go On Strike It wasn’t until late 2008 that we had the collapse in home equity as house prices nosedived (Chart 2), rising layoffs (Chart 3) and the drying up of consumer lending drove consumers into retrenchment. But they suddenly went on a buyers strike in the last four months of 2008, […]
thestatedtruth.com | September 16, 2010
U.S. home seizures reached a record for the third time in five months in August as lenders completed the foreclosure process for thousands of delinquent owners, according to RealtyTrac Inc. Bank repossessions climbed 25 percent from a year earlier to 95,364, the most since the Irvine, California-based data provider began keeping records. “We’re on track […]
thestatedtruth.com | September 15, 2010
ICI’s latest data discloses that in the week ended September 8, domestic funds saw outflows of $2.2 billion, following last week’s massive $7.7 billion. And ETFs experienced outflows as well. So far September has experienced nearly $10 billion in outflows, even as the market has ramped by over 6%. This is the 19th sequential outflow […]
thestatedtruth.com | September 15, 2010
The funded status of the 100 largest corporate defined benefit pension plans dropped by $108 billion during August 2010 as measured by the Milliman 100 Pension Funding Index (PFI). The funded status decrease was primarily due to a significant decrease in corporate bond interest rates that are the benchmarks used to value pension liabilities. Though […]
thestatedtruth.com | September 13, 2010
So what will bolt from the gate fastest Stocks, Bonds or could Gold and Silver lead the way? The New York Fed has just disclosed it will buy $27 billion in Treasurys between mid-Sept and mid-October. Using the Basel III blessed 30x leverage, this money, once it makes its way to the Primary Dealers, should be […]
thestatedtruth.com | September 13, 2010
From John Williams of shadowstats.com……… – Protracted Economic Downturn Re-Intensifies – Systemic Stability: “Tap-Dancing on a Land Mine” – Risks of U.S. Dollar Instability and Systemic-Salvation Efforts Pose         Severe Inflation Threat www.shadowstats.com
thestatedtruth.com | September 13, 2010
Hmm, this is a rather stunning study to say the least. And people wonder why there is a flight from equities into bonds. 09-13-2010 The latest Abel/Noser analysis has been released and according to the data analytics firm just 112 stocks now account for half of the day’s volume, the top 20 stocks account for 26% […]
thestatedtruth.com | September 12, 2010
Nice to know that someone is on the job! WASHINGTON   Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner said Washington can under cut an already slow economic recovery if it fails to provide quick support to business and individuals. “If the government does nothing going forward, then the impact of policy in Washington will shift from supporting economic growth […]
thestatedtruth.com | September 11, 2010
If not for record low interest rates, the Debt Service Ratio chart below would look a lot different! The consumer, and why the expectation (and reality) of deflation will keep U.S. buyers subdued, and continue to make the US economy ever more reliant on the government’s transfer payment, aka welfare, program. A very simple illustration of the […]
thestatedtruth.com | September 11, 2010
FDIC’s Bair Warns of Government “Exposure” in Mortgages WASHINGTON (Reuters) – A key U.S. banking regulator raised concern on Wednesday about the risk of “exposure” the government is taking on in the mortgage market and urged more stringent standards for underwriting mortgages. “We should all be concerned about the type of exposure that the government […]
thestatedtruth.com | September 10, 2010
 More: http://www.moneytalks.net/images/stories/August_26/Psychological-Stages-of-a-RE-Bubble-Market1.png
thestatedtruth.com | September 10, 2010
Interesting fact…..stock market REIT ‘s (Real Estate Investment Trusts) are trading at near record highs. Of the $3.1 billion new delinquencies in August, $1.1 billion (36%) corresponded to hotel-backed loans, pushing the hotel-specific delinquency rate past 20%. Current delinquency rates by property type are as follows: –Hotel: 20.80% (from 18.64%) –Multifamily: 14.18% (from 13.87%) –Retail: […]
thestatedtruth.com | September 9, 2010
Shifting Demographics A factor affecting demand is shifting demographics. The Baby Boomer generation is no longer the consumption engine it has been to the US economy.  We have a generation that, as has been predicted for some time, is reducing its expenses but it may be even more dramatic than forecasted. With home housing […]
thestatedtruth.com | September 8, 2010
Here is the key to this….In tracking mutual fund redemptions, net cash liquidity is now down to just 3.5% of assets. This is very negative data for the stock market. Domestic equity mutual funds saw $7.5 billion in outflows, it’s the biggest one week outflow since the $13.4 billion redeemed in the week of the Flash Crash. It’s […]
thestatedtruth.com | September 8, 2010
After two months of moderated growth in delinquent loans backing commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS), the delinquency rate in August increased 21 basis points to 8.92%, according to the analytics firm Trepp. It’s an increase from the 8.71% measured in July and another new record. The August delinquency rate is more than double the 4.03% rate […]
thestatedtruth.com | September 8, 2010
Between 1974 and 1982 nominal stock prices drifted slowly higher as corporate earnings picked up; thereby compressing valuations and ending the bear-market. But from the current look of things we are a ways from that outcome.   Â
thestatedtruth.com | September 8, 2010
Sounds like a hybred communist capitalist system is coming to Cuba soon. Maybe they will look to the Chinnese model for guidence! HAVANA   Fidel Castro told a visiting American journalist that Cuba’s communist economic model doesn’t work, in a rare comment on domestic affairs. Jeffrey Goldberg, a national correspondent for The Atlantic magazine, asked if Cuba’s […]
thestatedtruth.com | September 8, 2010
The Federal Reserve said the U.S. economy maintained its expansion while showing “widespread signs of a deceleration†in mid-July through the end of August, according to a survey by 12 regional Fed banks. The New York Fed reported “signs of decelerating†in the district, including “further deceleration†in manufacturing. The Philadelphia region said business conditions […]
thestatedtruth.com | September 7, 2010
The problem with trying to put hupty dumty back together is much like a house of cards,  they both tend to fall apart in a heap.  While abundant liquidity in May and June served as an artificial prop to return European and PIIGS spreads to previous levels, it looks more like a mean reversion as algorythems took hold. The second time around […]
thestatedtruth.com | September 7, 2010
So…….What’s going to happen here in the good old USA when, not if our congress gets around to this. Hint….. judging from the french reaction,  it won’t be pretty!  If you would like to know more about the demographic problem, just go to Categories on the left and click on Pensions and Retirement. There is plenty to read about on the […]
thestatedtruth.com | September 5, 2010
So even though we have nearly 8,000 banks, the bulk of the assets sit with a small number of banks and the Deposit Insurance Fund (DIF), the fund that backs the assets of the banks is actually in the red for $15 billion: www.mybudget360.com
thestatedtruth.com | September 4, 2010
Without tax incentives, this may all be for not……..John Mauldin explains the simple facts of job growth…..Want to increase productivity and jobs? The best way it seems, is to encourage private business, and especially startups. “So we can’t count on the Intels or Microsofts to create employment: we need the entrepreneurs.”  Delta Force There are […]
thestatedtruth.com | September 4, 2010
A must listen to interview with Jim Rickards about our economy and more.  We all need to be aware of the direction of things to come.   This interview from Jim Rickards will help in understanding these things better.  Click on the following link or paste into your browser:   http://www.kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/Broadcast/Entries/2010/9/4_Jim_Rickards.html  Biography of James G. Rickards…..James G. Rickards is […]
thestatedtruth.com | September 3, 2010
Very interesting,  but also a worst nightmare for tax payers……….Under Pennsylvania law, Ambac Assurance (which insures some of Harrisburg’s debt) can take Harrisburg to court to seek an order to raise property taxes to pay debt. This is the nature of “full faith and credit†of general-obligation bonds. So the tax payers are stuck for the […]
thestatedtruth.com | September 2, 2010
Key message here is….. for liquidity ratios, equity fund portfolio managers are at an all-time record low of 3.4%, down from 3.8% in June. Tack on the fact that there are less shorts to be covered – being that the market peaked in April, and short interest is now 4.3% of the S&P 500 market cap (in August 2008 it […]
thestatedtruth.com | September 2, 2010
Key words here are…..”public debt had served for decades as the ultimate shock absorber — rising in bad times but not declining much in good times.â€Â Now things have to change as  the wealthiest nations face years of belt-tightening. International Monetary Fund Warns G7 on Debt Thursday, 2 Sep 2010 By: Sewell Chan The world’s most […]
thestatedtruth.com | September 1, 2010
Front Running the Fed September 1, 2010 “… the public is no longer investing in stocks, but rather in bonds. So far this year through July, bond mutual funds have attracted $224.4bn in net inflows including reinvested dividends.  Equity funds have attracted only $17.2bn ytd, with $32.2bn going into International funds while $15.0bn flowed out […]
thestatedtruth.com | August 30, 2010
According to the Investment Company Institute (ICI), bond mutual funds have attracted more money than equity mutual funds for 30 consecutive months through June, the longest stretch in more than 23 years.
thestatedtruth.com | August 30, 2010
Another fraudulent entity, this time it’s a state……The state of New Jersey’s most recent report said that as of June 2009, its pension funds should have assets of $112 billion to meet their future obligations, but have only $66 billion now — This is one of the largest shortfalls of its kind, and is known as an unfunded liability!  The state […]
thestatedtruth.com | August 30, 2010
Interesting facts we haven’t heard of before! Â For the first time since at least 1997, fewer than 29 percent of ratings for stocks covered by brokerages worldwide are buys, according to 159,919 recommendations compiled by Bloomberg. Analysts are turning more pessimistic even as they push up estimates for profit growth among Standard & Poor’s […]
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