thestatedtruth.com | September 16, 2013
Wise Dog Sources believe that Kohn is NOT a deregulator as Summers was perceived to be, and his comments that we review below essentially take him out of the Federal Reserve Chairman job opening! Wikepedia: Donald Lewis Kohn (born November 7, 1942) is an American economist who served as the former Vice Chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. […]
thestatedtruth.com | September 15, 2013
It’s concerning how so many people now think that “things are different this time”! But since complacency has hit an all time record, it’s unlikely to end well. The Swiss-based BIS `bank of central banks’ said a hunt for yield was luring investors en masse into high-risk instruments, “a phenomenon reminiscent of exuberance prior to the global financial crisis”. The former chief economist […]
thestatedtruth.com | September 12, 2013
“Wise Dog” sources say the new normal in money has started a change from paper to plastic! The reason being that after initial increased costs, the extra durability of the notes would mean they would last longer. Canada has already adopted the polymer banknote because it’s cheaper to issue then paper notes. Other countries paying with plastic include: Australia was […]
thestatedtruth.com | September 11, 2013
Pay attention everybody, there will be a quiz on this….Stanley Druckenmiller (one of the most successful money managers of all time) addresses key issues for the U.S. economy going forward. Here are a few snip-its. On what he is most uncomfortable about: “Let’s first set the table and looking at what is going on in the last […]
thestatedtruth.com | August 25, 2013
The China plan would look to eventually back the Chinesse Renminbi currency with Gold, creating a direct trading challenge to the U.S. Dollar. Russia’s Putin has in the past hinted at something similar for the Russian Ruble! Chinese Gold Imports – China Imports 104 Tonnes of Gold in June China just imported 104 tonnes of […]
thestatedtruth.com | August 23, 2013
So, it’s said by a number of Realtors that interest rate spikes don’t matter to home buyers….um, maybe they should rethink that idea? Yep, maybe rethink it twice! Purchases of new U.S. homes plunged in July by the most in more than three years while previous month saless were revised down. Housing in July showed that a […]
thestatedtruth.com | August 18, 2013
The dreaded Hindenburg Omen continues through August 14….. For the 6th day in the last 8, the market has flashed a string of Hindenburg chart warnings that suggest that all is not well in a stock market considered by some to be “ government driven”. See our review of this several posts below, it will explain the Hindenberg Omen in detail.
thestatedtruth.com | August 18, 2013
Things that make you wonder….and then question, how could this happen! 76% of Americans live paycheck to paycheck 27% of American have no savings at all 46% of Americans have less than $800 in savings The conversion of America into a part-time working society and the country’s second largest employer – a temp agency. The […]
thestatedtruth.com | August 13, 2013
Why, you say…. It’s the dreaded Hindenburg Omen! “The Hindenburg Omen is a technical analysis that attempts to predict a forthcoming stock market crash. It is named after the Hindenburg disaster of May 6th 1937, during which the German zeppelin was destroyed in a sudden conflagration.” The Hindenburg Omen is not a guarantee of a […]
thestatedtruth.com | April 23, 2013
It’s now a rich mans world, but it wasn’t always this way! As the Pew Research Center finds, during the first two years of the US economic ‘recovery’, the mean net worth of households in the upper 7% of the wealth distribution rose by an estimated 28%, while the mean net worth of households in the lower 93% […]
thestatedtruth.com | March 12, 2013
Hmm…This from the very successful Kyle Bass We are right back there! The brevity of financial memory is about two years. I don’t get paid to be an optimist, I don’t get paid to be pessimist, I get paid to be a realist – and a prudent fiduciary of the capital, and then if i […]
thestatedtruth.com | March 8, 2013
Hmm….the average working age person has only about $79,651 saved up for retirement. That works out to about $416 per mounth of retirement payout if retiring at age 62. ICI recently released their retirement plan data through Q3 of 2012. The chart of the day shows the real (inflation adjusted) total retirement market assets per working age citizen […]
thestatedtruth.com | March 1, 2013
How do we define austerity? Quit simply we think it means that out into the future… “we’re all going to be poorer”. This sets up a bad game, and looking at the view of the field, it really doesn’t look anything like the ticket they sold us……more specifically, we have “bad seats, hey buddy…front row behind a pole, and we just sat […]
thestatedtruth.com | February 27, 2013
In some cases, a picture is worth a thousand words….in this case, we’re in the trillions. www.jsmineset.com
thestatedtruth.com | November 19, 2012
Cumberland Associates has this perspective about the world wide slippery economic situation, and failed post-retirement promises made to a trusting populace. Let us get back to the difference between the US and Europe. European peripheral countries waited too long. Now they cannot fund the promises that they made for retirement and post-retirement benefits, and so they have to […]
thestatedtruth.com | September 30, 2012
In This Guessing Game……There Are Four Possible Answers. So here we go with inquiring minds! With the World on your shoulders, which one of these four outcomes would you look to hitch your horse to…. 1. One who knows and knows that he knows… His horse of wisdom will reach the skies. 2. One who knows, but doesn’t know that he […]
thestatedtruth.com | June 29, 2012
The use of Eminent Domain to rewrite underwater mortgages would be catastrophic to the future of the housing industry. It would guarantee that private capital would have no interest in writing future loans for property that could be seized. Any idea that has no homeowner skin in the game should be dead on arrival! Officials in San Bernardino […]
thestatedtruth.com | June 26, 2012
Hmm… Survey: More Than 25% of Americans Have No Emergency Savings! By Nancy Stanley While nearly half of Americans don’t have enough money saved to cover emergencies, one-quarter don’t have any money saved, according to Bankrate.com’s Financial Security Index survey. The general rule of thumb is to have enough cash saved to cover at least […]
thestatedtruth.com | June 7, 2012
It sounds like things are really rolling, but are they really? Since reaching a five-year low of $51.3 trillion in the first quarter of 2009, net worth has improved by $11.6 trillion. That leaves it $4.6 trillion below the record high of $67.5 trillion reached in the quarter ended September 2007, three months before the […]
thestatedtruth.com | May 12, 2012
So, Governor Brown, do you still expect to see Californians vote themselves a tax increase….get real. California’s projected budget deficit has ballooned to $16 billion from the $9.2 billion estimated in January, according to California Governor Jerry Brown, and he warned of more painful spending cuts dead ahead. “We will have to go much further, and make […]
thestatedtruth.com | May 7, 2012
Yikes….inquiring minds wonder how much more student loan debt these college kids can rack up…hum, this really is an unending spiral! U.S. consumer credit soared by $21.4 billion in March on expectations of $9.8 billion rise, or the fastest monthly expansion since March 2001. Of the toatal, a modest $5.1 billion was from real credit, or revolving style credit-card […]
thestatedtruth.com | March 19, 2012
Spend, spend spend…… The Federal Reserve Flow of Funds Report, issued two weeks ago, reveals the extent of the average mans plight : Forty percent of all credit card users do not pay-off their credit card every month and carry an average balance of $16,000 at an average interest rate of 15%. Total U.S. credit market […]
thestatedtruth.com | March 12, 2012
U.S. Budget Deficits – A picture is worth um, $580 billion, here’s why… in the first 5 months of the fiscal year, the U.S. has racked up $580 billion in deficits,
thestatedtruth.com | March 6, 2012
Bonus time…or maybe not! Bankers and Wall Street listen up…The O in cheerios stands for zero bonus! Capice! www.zerohedge.com
thestatedtruth.com | February 16, 2012
In the new normal let’s review some definitions: (Discretionary spending is a spending category through which governments can spend through an appropriations act.) This spending is optional as part of fiscal policy, in contrast to entitlement programs for which funding is mandatory. As the Budget Control Act cuts discretionary spending to a 50-year low (close to only […]
thestatedtruth.com | February 10, 2012
So, Governor Brown, what happened to the big recovery you were expecting…and how about the giant consumer spending binge of the last two months fueled mostly on credit……just asking? This is a disaster to the state budget. Spending up as reflected in sales taxes, while income is down, relected in income taxes. California collected $528 million less in […]
thestatedtruth.com | January 31, 2012
More of the same…as personal income falls or flat lines, real estate will continue on a slippery slop. With record low interest rates, people, unlike in past recessions, still carry near record high amounts of debt. It is not indicative of a housing rebound. De-leveraging will continue to be a rage, unbeknown and not understood by most. The November […]
thestatedtruth.com | January 27, 2012
Yep, that’s right, if you are a responsible paying citizen you get nothing, but as the The Three Stooges would say, a poke in the eye….we know, yes there are families that really need the help for legitimate reasons, but much of this involves a reward for greed, and irresponsible actions. Oh, how times have changed! The HAMP expansion, called HAMP […]
thestatedtruth.com | January 25, 2012
The FED keeps stretching things out…one take is they are worried about other things not openly discussed…and, maybe worried about the thought that normal things might not go as planned either (but hope springs eternal)! FED Summary: No QE3; ZIRP (Zero Interest Rate Policy) Extended Thru 2014 FED EXPECTS TO MAINTAIN `HIGHLY ACCOMMODATIVE’ MONETARY POLICY FED SEES `EXCEPTIONALLY LOW’ RATES THROUGH AT LEAST LATE 2014 FED TO […]
thestatedtruth.com | January 18, 2012
We’ve been wondering the same as new cars are flying off the lot…….American households “have been spending recently in a way that did not seem in line with income growth. So somehow they’ve been doing that through perhaps additional credit card usage,” Chicago Federal Reserve President Charles Evans said on Friday. In an other ominous sign […]
thestatedtruth.com | January 9, 2012
PIMCO ranks as one of the top 5 smartest bond money managers in the world…..we should pay attention to what they think. EL-Erian and his business partner and PIMCO co-founder Bill Gross, along with another of the smartest money hedge fund managers Bridgewater, stated in separate reports last week that the economic bounce we’re seeing now is unlikely to last, because most […]
thestatedtruth.com | January 8, 2012
thestatedtruth.com | January 3, 2012
Hmm…..things are good, until they’re not! Then it’s to late to save anybody. Bloomberg: SEVERAL ON FOMC FAVORED CHANGE TO MID-2013 RATE VOW BEFORE LONG FOMC SAID GLOBAL FINANCIAL STRAINS POSE `SIGNIFICANT’ RISK FED PLANS TO RELEASE OFFICIALS’ FED FUNDS RATE FORECASTS FOMC MEMBERS SAW LONG-TERM INFLATION EXPECTATIONS AS STABLE FOMC MEMBERS SAW ECONOMY `EXPANDING […]
thestatedtruth.com | December 18, 2011
Extend and pretend, benefit extentions looked all set to go….but not so fast, they may not get approved after all. On Sunday House Speaker John Boehner flatly ruled out approval of a Senate agreement to temporarily extend the payroll tax cut through February. But, Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D., Nev.) said if Mr. Boehner rejected the Senate […]
thestatedtruth.com | December 17, 2011
The U.S.consumer debt situation remains a major problem and is far from its normal boundaries. It will remain so for some time to come, and we mean years! Here’s an updated look at the U.S. consumer. During the housing boom, consumer leverage rose at nearly twice the rate of corporate and banking leverage. Even after all the […]
thestatedtruth.com | December 16, 2011
Uh, so how do you underestimate your sub-prime loans number by 238 billion dollars from 2006 to 2008 and then allow yourself nice bonuses off those false numbers. Lucky for us tax payers some of those bonuses were clawed back’ by the government. Anybody out there think these guys missed the numbers by accident? No, it was no accident! […]
thestatedtruth.com | December 15, 2011
According to the Australian Finance Review, banks down under “have been given 1 week by regulators to stress test how they would handle a spike in joblessness and a plunge in home prices spurred by EU debt crisis.” Bloomberg First Word describes for us what the article says: Australian Prudential Regulation Authority envision worst-case scenario of […]
thestatedtruth.com | December 14, 2011
A sharp decline in withholding tax receipts signals an imminent recession is dead ahead! The forward indicators that produce the most reliable signals with respect to recession forecasting continue to indicate that a return to economic contraction is highly likely in early 2012. Our computer models have been predicting the likely start of a new recession […]
thestatedtruth.com | December 4, 2011
Banks are a moving target for a reason in the new World normal… Pressure is growing on Berlin over the weekend as there are rumors that COMMERZBANK, Germany’s second largest bank, will have to be nationalized. It means that the solvency of GERMAN banking is being challenged. If COMMERZBANK fails then one of the most levered banks in […]
thestatedtruth.com | December 2, 2011
Bill Gross of PIMCO says (despite today’s positive unemployment news) things continue to be bad, and interest rates will likely stay at record lows for another four years. From Bloomberg: Pacific Investment Management Co.’s Bill Gross said U.S. employment growth won’t prevent the Federal Reserve from signaling that borrowing rates will remain lower longer than policy makers have already indicated. […]
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