Special Tax Relief On Mortgage Debt Forgiveness Ends December 31 Of 2012

| January 29, 2012

Pay attention everyone, we review important details here that could save you or a friend lots of money on real estate debt forgiveness!  Didn’t know there was such a thing?  Well read on….  From the Los Angeles Times Reporting From Washington— The window is closing rapidly on one of the most important tax-relief provisions enacted […]

Delinquent Homeowners Get Free Money

| January 27, 2012

Yep, that’s right, if you are a responsible paying citizen you get nothing, but as the The Three Stooges would say, a poke in the eye….we know, yes there are families that really need the help for legitimate reasons, but much of this involves a reward for greed, and irresponsible actions. Oh, how times have changed! The HAMP expansion, called HAMP […]

Q4 GDP Misses Expectations At 2.8%

| January 27, 2012

There has been an abundance of confidence in our system lately, so much so that an abnormal amount of spending has been come from savings, but history shows this often leads to disappointment. This will likely be reflected going forward in the first quarter or half of 2012….. Goldman On GDP: Warns Of Q1 Weakness The change in real private inventories added […]

2011 New Home Sales Fall To Record Low

| January 26, 2012

Negative demographics as far as the eye can see. and it’s reflected in the median price for new homes, which just dropped from $215,700 to $210,300. According to the Census Bureau (not NAR data), December New Home Sales declined from 321K to a seasonally adjusted annualized rate of 307K in December, on expectations of a rise to […]

Bill Gross’ Explains The FOMC Decision

| January 25, 2012

Bill Gross of PIMCO explains Fed decision on Tweeter www.zerohedge.com

Fed Cuts Growth Outlook, Remains Cautious

| January 25, 2012

The FED keeps stretching things out…one take is they are worried about other things not openly discussed…and, maybe worried about the thought that normal things might not go as planned either (but hope springs eternal)!  FED Summary:  No QE3; ZIRP (Zero Interest Rate Policy) Extended Thru 2014 FED EXPECTS TO MAINTAIN `HIGHLY ACCOMMODATIVE’ MONETARY POLICY FED SEES `EXCEPTIONALLY LOW’ RATES THROUGH AT LEAST LATE 2014 FED TO […]

Apple’s Year End Cash Equivalent Of $97.6 Billion Would Make It The 58th Largest Economy In The World

| January 24, 2012

Apple is the American success story of the century.  This is one large pile of cash! After generating $37.9 billion in cash, short and long-term equivalents in 2011, and a record $16 billion in Q4 alone (of which $11.8 billion in Long-Term Marketable Securities). The company’s total cash and equivalents horde is now just shy of […]

The European Predicament

| January 22, 2012

Yep, looks sort of like the European currency and economic predicament….half way over the edge but confused and still thinking everything’s going to be OK!  Hmm…So far, so good! 

Our Current Plight Is Looking Worse, Not better

| January 20, 2012

Confidence levels have been rising rapidly…and the government says things are getting better, people are starting to borrow again, using their credit cards more, and out and about in a spending mood….but the exhibit below tells a more realistic story of our current plight.  So, are things really any better then they were?  We’ll let you answer that one! Chart: […]

Philly Fed Misses Expectations As Outlook Nears Cyclical Peak

| January 19, 2012

The six-month ahead outlook for Philly Fed shows a very high level of ‘hope’. Expectations for the data was a 10.3 and it came at 7.3, a definitive miss to expectations. Revisions rise to 7.3 (from 6.8 revised) is heralded (in a short-lived manner) as evidence of improvement. Under the covers though, things aren’t so rosy. New Orders […]

Todays Economic Data Points

| January 19, 2012

Same old same…..things are getting better, but are they really?  Yes they are, but in 2008 we stopped on a dime. The Federal Reserve looks to be worried about deflation. We all should be too! Initial Claims: Initial claims drop from revised 402K (as expected) in last week, to 352K this week, 50K swing in one […]

Kodak Files For Chapter 11 Bankruptcy

| January 19, 2012

It was going to happen sooner or later….a once mighty company, founded in 1880 by George Eastman and renamed Eastman Kodak in 1892, they controlled 90% of the film market by 1976, and were a part of the Dow Jones Industrial Average index for 74 years before being deleted in 2004.  But before anyone gets any […]

Chicago Fed President Warns On Savings Drain And New Borrowing Binge

| January 18, 2012

We’ve been wondering the same as new cars are flying off the lot…….American households “have been spending recently in a way that did not seem in line with income growth. So somehow they’ve been doing that through perhaps additional credit card usage,” Chicago Federal Reserve President Charles Evans said on Friday.  In an other ominous sign […]

Germany Cuts 2012 Economic Growth Forecast And Export Outlook

| January 18, 2012

IMF: 2 Year “Funding Gap” Hits $1 Trillion IMF SAID TO SEE POTENTIAL 2-YEAR FINANCING GAP AT $1 TRILLION IMF SAID TO SEEK RAISING LENDING RESOURCES BY $500 BLN Fed Officials Open to Additional Easing as They Monitor Risks to Economy Federal Reserve officials are staying open to further monetary easing this year as they […]

World Bank Warns To “Prepare For The Worst”

| January 17, 2012

No wonder the U.S. is telling Israel to cool they’re heals about Iran…if you want to make a bad situation worse, then start a war in the Middle East and watch oil go to $200 a barrel, then presto, a world depression that would make the 1930’s look like a picnic!   World Bank Cuts Economic Outlook, […]

Baltic Dry Index Drops To Lowest Levels Since January 2009

| January 17, 2012

This points to a global slowing in the economies of the world….The index has fallen for 19 days in a row, down almost 50%, its largest drop since the harrowing period of Q4 2008…….Capice. By definition: The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) is a number issued daily by the London-based Baltic Exchange. Not restricted to Baltic […]

U.S. War Exercise Postponed For “Budget Reasons”

| January 15, 2012

Guess the idea is….why waste money on an exercise if the real think is coming?  Or maybe not, as last week Europe wanted western countries to postpone an embargo against Iranian oil exports by 6 months because of poor european economies. The United States and Israel have agreed to postpone a large joint military exercise planned for this spring. The […]

Eastman Kodak Preparing For A Polaroid Moment (Bankruptcy)

| January 12, 2012

So…..back in September Kodak said it was weighing options, then issued a statement saying it has “no intention of filing for bankruptcy” and that it is pursuing patent sales. It looks like Eastman Kodak has about $1.6 billion in debt according to Yahoo Finance.  A Polaroid moment is close to being developed!  Eastman Kodak Co. (EK) is […]

A Demographic Scoop, And More Demographic Poop

| January 12, 2012

It’s all about demographics my dear Watson….here’s some food for thought! First up let’s study a graph of the Census Bureau historical and forecast data for the peak-spending cohort population in the U.S. from 1980 to 2050. The Age 45-49 cohort peaked in 2009 and will bottom out in 2022 after an estimated decline of […]

Natural Gas Prices Continue To Plummet

| January 12, 2012

The good news for the consumer is that “experts” predict rock-bottom natural-gas prices through at least 2013. “We’re anticipating sustained low gas prices,” says Andy Steinhubl, from Bain & Co.’s North American oil and gas practice.  This from The Wall Street Journal….. U.S. energy companies are pumping so much natural gas out of the ground that […]

Aston Martin’s $1.9 Million Car Will Sell Out

| January 10, 2012

One more” bonus baby” and they’re sold out!  Unbelievable…At the North American International Auto Show in Detroit, Aston Martin’s Julian Jenkins reveals that its  One-77 model at a price point of about $1.9 million is one unit away from sold out.

In The Luxury Auto Market, Records Are Made To Be Broken…And Then Some!

| January 10, 2012

This is truly a statement about the rich.  Let’s clarify that, the very rich. Porsche has its biggest backlog ever. Buyers of the 263,000-euro ($335,667) Lamborghini Aventador will have to wait more than a year for delivery, while demand for the 107-year-old Rolls-Royce brand (at $246,000 to $380,000 each) is breaking all time records.  Sales of […]

PIMCO’s El-Erian Again Warns: QE3 Won’t Produce The Outcomes We Want

| January 9, 2012

PIMCO ranks as one of the top 5 smartest bond money managers in the world…..we should pay attention to what they think.  EL-Erian and his business partner and PIMCO co-founder Bill Gross, along with another of the smartest money hedge fund managers Bridgewater, stated in separate reports last week that the economic bounce we’re seeing now is unlikely to last, because most […]

Consumer Credit Jumps By Most In 10 Years

| January 9, 2012

Yep, everybody and their brother are out buying things…the mystery is, that the consumer is re-leveraging while most of their assets are deflating fast.  This will be double trouble.  PIMCO, Bridgewater and Soros have recently been warning about this. Heads up…the just released G.19, aka Consumer Credit  data from the Fed shows a stunning November in which U.S. households borrowed […]

So Let’s See…. Who Are The 1 Percent?

| January 8, 2012

Sooooo…Let’s Review The Inequity Of It All !

| January 8, 2012

CES: Vizio Plans To Destroy PC Pricing With Price War

| January 8, 2012

Can anyone guess where Vizio is located….Nope, didn’t think so, it’s not over seas, but in Irvine, California.  That’s BACK in the good old U.S.A.  Who knows, maybe this even becomes a trend. Bloomberg: Vizio Inc., the television maker that helped drive higher-cost rivals out of the business with rock-bottom prices, plans to bring the […]

George Soros Says EU Break-Up Would be Catastrophic

| January 7, 2012

We get the drift, but does the EU (European Union)?  George Soros said “Today, the euro is potentially endangering the political cohesion of the European Union,” according to the Business Line newspaper in the south Indian city of Hyderabad. “If the common currency were to break down, it will lead to the break up of […]

The “Just In Time” New World Economy

| January 6, 2012

We will be tested on this one, the new normal “just in time” economy may not be such a good idea, after all!  The global economy could withstand widespread disruption from a natural disaster or attack by militants for only a week as governments and businesses are not sufficiently prepared to deal with unexpected events, […]

Bad Seats, Hey Buddy!

| January 5, 2012

This is what can happen on a bad day in the stock market……..bad seats, hey buddy!  Buuuddy was the Cat.

These Are Just The Facts…

| January 5, 2012

Nothing is going to change this. It is what it is!

A 2012 Macro View Of The Economy From The Masters Of The Universe

| January 5, 2012

Bridgewater Review For 2012   This Bridgewater review of 2012 is highly regarded.  I have highlighted it below…..everyone should print this out and post it in a viewable place.  These guys run the largest hedge fund in the world and are among the top 5 smartest managers anywhere.  They’re not always right, but they are right more often […]

Gasoline Demand Plunges

| January 5, 2012

Folks, this is starting to look like a trend. It may be a combination of things, i.e., less driving, newer cars with better mpg, and older demographics in play (which means less driving) or….it could just be a freak of nature?  Never the less, prices have come down, but not as much as one would surmise in retrospect.  We’ll remind […]

Tech Guru Gene Inger Digs Into Next Weeks (Much Awaited) Consumer Electronics Show In Las Vegas

| January 5, 2012

Our good friend Gene Inger of www.ingerletter.com is heading out West to the annual Consumer Electronics Show in Las Vegas next week.  Gene has been reporting on this show for as long as we can remember, and knows his electronics well.  We think this review will be well worth reading. In fact, we know of no […]

FOMC Minutes: Fed To Start Releasing Official Fed Funds Rate Forecasts

| January 3, 2012

Hmm…..things are good, until they’re not!  Then it’s to late to save anybody. Bloomberg: SEVERAL ON FOMC FAVORED CHANGE TO MID-2013 RATE VOW BEFORE LONG FOMC SAID GLOBAL FINANCIAL STRAINS POSE `SIGNIFICANT’ RISK FED PLANS TO RELEASE OFFICIALS’ FED FUNDS RATE FORECASTS FOMC MEMBERS SAW LONG-TERM INFLATION EXPECTATIONS AS STABLE FOMC MEMBERS SAW ECONOMY `EXPANDING […]

The Future May Be In Natural Gas…But That’s Also The Problem

| December 31, 2011

At the close of  2011, U.S. natural gas prices sat at their lowest point in more than two years and the lowest winter price in ten years.  All the while natural gas production in the lower 48 states hit an all time record of 71.3 billion cubic feet a day in October, according to the latest U.S. Department of […]

Mild Weather Blankits Most Of The U.S. On New Years Day

| December 31, 2011

Unusual weather patterns are creating an interesting twist to normally harsh winter areas in the United States….Just 19.6 percent of the continental United States is covered in snow, according to the latest snow analysis by NOAA, compared with 50.3 percent this time last year. From the Washington Post: At the National Arboretum, the white petals of […]

Demographic Poop

| December 29, 2011

Here is one of the reasons for slow world growth dead ahead, and from the looks of things, it will last a long long time!  The baby boomer generation was the last of the demographic growth cycles and that was back from the 1950’s thru the 1970’s.  Now the baby boomers are debt ridden as they enter retirement age, […]

The National Association Of Realtors Has A History Of Not Being Truthful

| December 22, 2011

NAR proving what most everyone knew:………. the sales numbers are inflated. NAR: EXISTING U.S. HOME SALES REVISED DOWN BY 14% FROM 2007-2010 NAR: EXISTING HOME SALES REVISED DOWN BY 15% IN 2010 TO 4.19 MLN

PIMCO’s 2012 Economic Forecast

| December 22, 2011

PIMCO’s latest thoughts are highlighted below…..rather sobering to say the least! Here are the just released 2012 forecasts by Bill Gross, via Bloomberg and the WSJ: PIMCO SEES RISK-OFF PHASE IN FIRST PART OF 2012, EL-ERIAN SAYS PIMCO: U.S. TO GROW BETWEEN 0% AND 1 % IN 2012 PIMCO SEES GLOBAL ECONOMY GROWING 1.0%-1.5% IN […]

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